Polymarket Odds Slash Trump Impeachment Chances in 2025—Traders Bet Against DC Drama
Prediction markets aren’t buying what Washington’s selling. Polymarket data reveals gamblers are overwhelmingly shorting the odds of a Trump impeachment this year—because nothing moves markets like political chaos, except maybe apathy.
Why the skepticism? The numbers don’t lie. With impeachment chatter fading faster than a meme coin’s liquidity, traders are pricing this as a non-event. And let’s be honest—after the last few years, even political risk has diminishing returns.
Bonus jab: Wall Street still pretending they price in political risk while secretly praying for stablecoin-level stability.
Trump faces impeachment threat
The renewed speculation follows fresh political activity, with Representative Al Green introducing an article of impeachment on June 24, which argued that Trump bypassed Congress before authorizing military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities.
According to the resolution:
“Donald J. Trump has abused the powers of the presidency in a manner contrary to his trust as President, has become a threat to American democracy, subverted our constitutional government, and devolved democracy into authoritarianism, to the great prejudice of the cause of law and justice, and to the manifest injury of the people of the United States.”
Notably, Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez had voiced support for an impeachment over the weekend, saying the recent strikes against Iran were unconstitutional.
However, Trump has fired back against these impeachment threats in a lengthy June 24 Truth Social post.
The US president mocked Ocasio-Cortez and other Democrats, calling them “stupid” and accusing them of being unable to accept his political victories.
According to him:
“The reason for [their] ‘rantings’ is all of the Victories that the USA. has had under the Trump Administration. The Democrats aren’t used to WINNING, and [they] can’t stand the concept of our Country being successful again.”
