Bitcoin’s Stochastic RSI Just Bullishly Crossed Up—Historical Data Points to Major Rally Ahead

Bitcoin’s Stochastic RSI indicator flashes a bullish crossover—a signal that’s historically preceded significant upward momentum.

Technical Breakthrough Confirmed

Traders are watching closely as Bitcoin’s Stochastic RSI crosses above its signal line, suggesting strengthening momentum and potential breakout conditions. Past performance indicates this pattern often leads to notable price appreciation.

Market Psychology in Play

When these technical levels align, it doesn’t just reflect chart patterns—it triggers trader behavior. Expect increased buying pressure as algorithmic systems and retail traders jump on the signal.

Timing the Move

While timing is never perfect in markets, historical backtests show an average of 15-20% gains following similar Stochastic RSI crossovers in Bitcoin’s price history. Of course, past performance doesn’t guarantee future results—something the finance industry conveniently forgets until the next crash.

Whether this marks the start of the next leg up or just another false alarm remains to be seen, but one thing’s certain: the charts are speaking, and traders are listening.

Stochastic RSI Flashes Bullish Signal

Bitcoin’s weekly chart has printed a fresh crossover on the Stochastic RSI, a MOVE that in the past has come ahead of rallies. The signal occurs when the blue %K line moves above the orange %D line from the oversold zone.

Analyst Ash crypto commented,

BTC WEEKLY STOCHASTIC RSI HAS CROSSED UP, CONFIRMING A STRONG BULLISH SIGNAL

EVERY TIME THIS SIGNAL CAME IN THE PAST, BTC WAS OVERSOLD AND THEN PUMPED UP. pic.twitter.com/4nRSG2c0AX

— Ash Crypto (@Ashcryptoreal) September 18, 2025

Similar crossovers were recorded in September 2023, January 2024, September 2024, and March 2025. Each time, Bitcoin followed with a sustained rise. The latest crossover appeared on September 8, 2025, with BTC trading near $117,600.

Resistance Levels to Watch

Bitcoin is now testing resistance around $119,000–$119,500, an area that has capped price advances in recent months. Analyst Michaël van de Poppe remarked,

“The more important part; will $BTC break through this crucial resistance zone?”

Failure to push higher could bring BTC back toward $114,700, or even $111,900, which traders see as a possible entry zone. A clean break above $119,500 WOULD open the way to $123,288, the most recent high where liquidity was taken.

The $117,200 Pivot

Analyst Ted pointed to $117,200 as a level to watch. bitcoin was rejected here earlier, sending it below $115,000. He noted,

$BTC is trying to reclaim the $117,200 level.

It got rejected the other day, which led to a correction below $115,000.

If BTC is able to reclaim this level, a move towards $120,000 will happen.

If Bitcoin fails to reclaim this, a dump towards $113,000 could happen. pic.twitter.com/y2aTrWojIw

— Ted (@TedPillows) September 18, 2025

In the chart, a breakout beyond $117,200 could move prices toward $120,000–$123,300. Conversely, a decrease in momentum would expose the support areas around $113,600–$114,000 with further downside toward $107,400–$108,600 and $101,000–$102,000.

In addition, Ted also commented on the broader cycle, saying, “BTC has historically peaked 1,070–1,080 days after bottom. This time, I’m expecting a longer cycle due to institutional arrival.” He suggested a possible peak in January or February 2026.

Analysts feel Bitcoin is at a crucial juncture: either confirming a breakout over resistance zones or retreating to test lower levels once more. A steady move upward shall put altcoins on the map for stronger breakouts once Bitcoin consolidates.