Bitcoin Braces for ’Septembear’ Slump as Historical Trends Signal Monthly Peak Approaches
Bitcoin's facing its seasonal slump—again. Historical patterns don't lie, and right now, they're screaming 'caution.'
Timing the Tumble
Every September seems to bring the same story: A slide follows the highs. It’s almost clockwork. Traders see it. Analysts expect it. And yet—some still act surprised.
Market Mood Swings
Fear? Greed? More like déjà vu. Crypto’s favorite month for drama is back, and the charts are hinting at a slide. Not a crash—a cyclical pullback. The kind that separates patient holders from reactive sellers.
Same Play, Different Year
You’d think after a decade of these cycles, Wall Street would stop acting shocked when digital gold does… exactly what digital gold does. But here we are—another September, another 'unexpected' dip.
A Bearish Month for Bitcoin
According to CoinGlass, Bitcoin has declined in 8 out of the last 12 Septembers it has traded, so odds are that this one will also be red since it is a bull market year.
BTC fell by more than 7% in the ‘Septembear’ of the 2017 and 2021 bull market years, so a repeat of history could see it slide to just over $100,000 by the end of the month.
“Historically, September has been the worst month for Bitcoin, with an average return of -3.47% over the past 13 years,” observed analyst ‘Mags.’
#Bitcoin – Buy in September, Sell in November ?
Historically, September has been the worst month for Bitcoin, with an average return of -3.47% over the past 13 years, while October and November have been the most bullish months for Bitcoin. pic.twitter.com/ATDGuvNYnZ
— Mags (@thescalpingpro) September 1, 2025
In the short term, ‘Crypto Caesar’ predicted a potential bounce off current levels, but cautioned that a continued downward trend could send BTC back to support at around $100,000.
“Bitcoin is sitting right on the short-term holder realized price,” which is a key support/resistance level to watch, said CryptoQuant analyst JA Maartun.
Additionally, none of the CoinGlass Bitcoin bull market indicators have been triggered yet, adding further weight to the current decline being a predictable seasonal correction.
BTC Price Outlook
Bitcoin is trading up around 2.5% on the day, which has enabled it to reclaim the $110,000 level for the first time since Friday.
It bounced off an intraday low of $107,500 to hit $110,500 during early trading in Asia on Tuesday morning, but appears to have hit resistance there.
BTC is currently 11% down from its all-time high, which is pretty shallow compared to previous September market corrections … but there is still a long way to go this month.
