This On-Chain Signal Reveals the Perfect Moment to Stack More Bitcoin (2025 Edition)

Bitcoin’s price swings like a pendulum—but the blockchain never lies. Here’s how to decode its whispers for maximum gains.

The Metric That Front-Runs the Herd

On-chain data doesn’t care about Elon’s tweets or CNBC’s ‘expert’ hot takes. It tracks real money moving between wallets—smart money that bought the 2023 bottom and sold the 2024 top. Now, it’s flashing again.

When Accumulation Goes Stealth

Whales aren’t buying when headlines scream ‘ATH!’ They scoop up BTC when retail panics over -20% dips. The signal? A sustained spike in dormant coins suddenly changing hands—plus exchange reserves hitting 3-year lows. No, your trading app won’t notify you.

Timing > HODLing (Sometimes)

Even gold bugs admit: buy-and-hold works… until it doesn’t. This strategy shaves years off waiting for ‘the next halving pump’ by piggybacking on institutions who’ve already done the homework (and have the OTC desks to prove it).

The Cynic’s Corner

Wall Street still thinks ‘blockchain, not Bitcoin’ is a viable strategy—meanwhile, their ‘tokenized assets’ trade at a 60% discount to actual BTC. Funny how that works.

When to Buy More BTC

DCA seeks to minimize the impact of market volatility on large crypto acquisitions. It involves the allocation of a fixed amount of capital at regular intervals regardless of the price of the purchased asset.

According to CryptoQuant analyst BorisVest, this DCA strategy offers a data-driven solution that tackles one of the biggest challenges in Bitcoin investing. This method helps investors to avoid entering the market during tops or periods of fear of missing out (FOMO). It also enables market participants to take advantage of bottoms despite fearful sentiment, reversing emotional trading cycles and leading to long-term success.

CryptoQuant’s DCA recommends buying BTC when its price falls below the one-week to one-month realized price. At such levels, short-term holders are often under increased selling pressure as they are in the red. The strategy executes hourly purchases during such periods, keeping the BTC and USD cost basis closer.

More Accumulation Needed

At press time, the one-week to one-month realized price stood around $117,700, while the price of BTC hovered around $117,760. This indicates that the market is still in the accumulation zone, although the price is nearing the realized threshold. As long as bitcoin’s price stays below the $117,700 level, investors can continue accumulating.

However, once the price climbs above the realized threshold, it is time to gradually sell the acquired assets, using the same approach.

“In essence, Smart DCA removes emotion from the decision-making process and replaces it with behavioral on-chain metrics. By buying during fear-driven dips and selling into strength, it builds a more resilient and optimized portfolio over time,” BorisVest added.

Meanwhile, traders have been taking advantage of bitcoin’s price movement to grow their holdings. CryptoPotato reported that they bought roughly 120,000 BTC as bitcoin recovered from $112,000 to $116,000 over the last two days. However, the market needs stronger accumulation to form sustainable support.