XRP ETF in 2025: Inevitable After This Game-Changing Move?

Wall Street's latest crypto craving just got a major boost—and XRP might be next in line for the ETF treatment.

With institutional demand for crypto exposure hitting fever pitch, regulators are facing mounting pressure to greenlight an XRP exchange-traded fund. The recent SEC settlement cleared a critical roadblock, leaving traders asking: is this the final domino to fall?

Behind the scenes, market makers are already positioning for what could be 2025's most explosive crypto narrative. Liquidity pools are deepening, derivatives volumes are spiking—all the classic signs of institutional groundwork.

Of course, this being finance, there's always a catch. Will the same suits who spent years fighting XRP suddenly become its biggest cheerleaders? Only in an industry where 'principles' have the half-life of a meme coin.

One thing's certain: if approved, this ETF won't just move markets—it'll rewrite the rules of the game entirely.

Polymarket Odds Through the Roof

As perma-XRP bull John Squire informed recently, the chances for approval of a Ripple ETF by the end of the year had skyrocketed to 98%. Recall that the odds had dropped below 70% just a few weeks prior and recovered to 80% before the surge.

As of press time, the percentage has dropped to 88%, which is still a lot higher than the year’s average. When it comes down to a July 31 deadline, though, the odds are down to 17% and continue to get lower as the date approaches, and there are no big developments on the matter aside from SEC application delays.

$XRP ETF confidence soars to 98%

The market isn’t guessing anymore, it’s anticipating.

Liquidity, legitimacy, and momentum are lining up.
This is no longer “if”… it’s when. pic.twitter.com/Bi4Z88kLpD

— John Squire (@TheCryptoSquire) June 7, 2025

The reason why odds on Polymarket are so important for future developments is the platform’s success rate. As reported earlier this year, its accuracy levels have been quite impressive, at around 90%.

Here’s Why the Odds Surged

Such an impressive pump in the approval odds from around 80% to almost 100% in a single day couldn’t be just a coincidence. In fact, it came after the SEC approved a NASDAQ crypto US settlement price index, which includes XRP, as well as other altcoins like ADA, SOL, and XLM.

According to crypto experts, this development is particularly important as it signals that these assets have solid liquidity and reliable pricing, and it removes key obstacles for spot ETF approvals.

BREAKING:

SEC APPROVES NASDAQ CRYPTO US SETTLEMENT PRICE INDEX INCLUDING $SOL, $ADA, $XLM, AND $XRP.

HERE’S WHY THIS IS HUGE!

– SEC SIGNALS THESE ALTS HAVE STRONG LIQUIDITY & RELIABLE PRICING.

– REMOVES KEY OBSTACLE FOR SPOT ETF APPROVAL.

-FOLLOWS BTC/ETH PRECEDENT,… pic.twitter.com/9uogirFJhP

— Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) June 7, 2025

Interestingly, the approval odds for ADA and SOL ETFs by the end of the year didn’t experience a similar surge. Moreover, the chances for Cardano are down to 42% from 70%, while those for Solana are at 79%, which is still lower than the percentages from a week ago.