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Ethereum’s $470M Liquidation Shakeup: Why This Isn’t Another August Meltdown

Ethereum’s $470M Liquidation Shakeup: Why This Isn’t Another August Meltdown

Published:
2025-09-25 15:08:44
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Ethereum just weathered a $470 million liquidation storm—but this time, the foundations feel different.

The Anatomy of This Drop

Markets shuddered as leveraged positions unraveled across exchanges. Unlike August's cascade, this liquidation event triggered more strategic repositioning than panic selling. The $470 million flush actually cleared overleveraged deadwood from the system.

Infrastructure Versus Speculation

Ethereum's ecosystem now operates on fundamentally stronger rails. Layer-2 networks absorbed transaction spikes while DeFi protocols demonstrated actual resilience—not just the 'too big to fail' rhetoric traditional finance loves to parrot.

The Professional Pivot

Institutional wallets accumulated during the dip, treating the liquidation as a discount rather than a disaster. Smart money recognizes that network upgrades have transformed Ethereum's risk profile since summer.

The real story? A $470 million test that Ethereum passed—while Wall Street still struggles to explain why their 'stress tests' always seem to miss the actual stress. The network evolves while traditional finance just rotates buzzwords.

Ethereum Flashback? Not Quite

In the past two months, the network has witnessed only two major long liquidations above $400 million.

On August 14, Ethereum’s $444 million in long liquidations came amid a buyer-dominated environment. Open interest stood at $29 billion, and funding rates were positive at +0.013. This indicated aggressive long positioning and high leverage. The subsequent price drop triggered a cascading liquidation of overextended longs, but the broader uptrend remained intact.

During that period, the price closed above the EMA 20, SMA 50, and AVWAP levels, and confirmed that buyers still held structural control.

Fast forward to September 22, when long liquidations reached $467 million, and the setup was notably different. Open interest, for one, had eased to $27.3 billion, while funding slipped slightly negative to -0.0020. This depicted more pressure to maintain or add short positions.

ETHUSD. Source: TradingView

ETHUSD. Source: TradingView

Although funding had been positive in the days leading up to the sell-off, the sudden flip meant that bears were starting to dictate direction. Technically, ethereum failed to defend key support around the area marked as 5°, as the price closed below the EMA 20, SMA 50, and critical AVWAPs that once acted as a safety net for buyers.

CryptoQuant said that this breakdown indicated that sellers had seized control of the trend and turned what might have been a routine shakeout into a deeper structural shift.

A $400 million liquidation in a bull-leaning market merely resets leverage, while the same magnitude in a seller-driven context can accelerate downside momentum.

Bearish Forecasts

Ethereum remains in a fragile zone. The asset briefly slipped below $4,000 on Thursday before recovering slightly above the level. Experts, including analyst ‘Sykodelic,’ are now anticipating a correction that could push prices toward $3,500, and intermediate supports lie at $3,800-$3,900, as oversold signals and historical drawdowns align.

On-chain figures, however, also reveal significant whale accumulation and shrinking exchange holdings, which show that larger investors are capitalizing on weakness. This points to a shaky near-term outlook.

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