ビットコイン価格分析：抵抗線突破か、停滞か？今後の動向に注目が集まる

ビットコインが重要な抵抗ゾーンに直面——次の動きが市場の命運を握る

主要抵抗レベルでの決戦

ビットコインが重要な抵抗ゾーンで膠着状態に入っている。トレーダーたちは次の大きな値動きに備え、ポジションを調整中だ。この水準を突破すれば上昇トレンドが加速する可能性が高いが、反発に失敗すれば調整局面に入るリスクもある。

機関投資家の動向がカギ

伝統的な金融機関がこぞってビットコインETFに参入する中、市場の成熟度はかつてない高さに。とはいえ、ウォール街の大物たちが「分散型」を謳いながら中央集権的な商品で儲ける皮肉——まさに現代金融の典型だ。

技術指標が示すサイン

RSIは中立圏付近で推移しており、明確な方向性の欠如を示唆。出来高は平均的で、市場参加者が次の催化剂を待っている状況だ。過去のパターンから見れば、このような consolidation phase は大きな値動きの前兆となることが多い。

9月の伝統的弱さを打破できるか

歴史的に9月は暗号資産市場にとって厳しい月となる傾向がある。しかし今年は機関資金の流入や規制環境の改善といった追い風も——結局のところ、伝統的な金融ルールがデジタル資産にどこまで通用するのか、市場が試しているのだ。

Mandelson fired, Rayner gone, Starmer cornered

Angela was removed over a separate scandal just one week before. Her departure triggered a cabinet reshuffle that only raised more tensions. Labour backbenchers said it concentrated more power in the hands of Starmer’s aide Morgan McSweeney, especially over party whips.

Several MPs said they no longer feel SAFE speaking to the whips at all. They’re warning that if Starmer tries to slash welfare spending again, he might not have enough support in Parliament to survive a rebellion.

Inside No. 10, one MP told Bloomberg “Operation Save Keir” has already started. Another Labour figure said Starmer’s government feels like the final days of the Conservatives, but Labour’s only been in power for 14 months.

Pollster Keiran Pedley from Ipsos said Labour’s reputation on competence now looks like “the previous Conservative government.” He tied that to the deputy leadership drama, rapid resignations, and public confusion about who’s in charge.

Trump visit throws fuel on Labour fire

Trump is flying into a firestorm. The UK economy is in trouble. Businesses like Merck and Ineos are pulling out. Chancellor Rachel Reeves is about to unveil a November budget expected to raise taxes to settle bond markets.

But it could also choke growth. Some Labour lawmakers are already nervous about how this will affect investors watching from abroad. The UK’s political crisis isn’t just domestic anymore.

The Labour convention later this month is another hurdle. Starmer will face direct pressure from rivals within his party. If he’s weak on stage, it could open the door to a leadership fight. But before that, he has to deal with Trump.

The president will meet King Charles III on Wednesday in what officials hope will be a distraction. There will also be a joint tech partnership announced, backed by Nvidia’s Jensen Huang and OpenAI’s Sam Altman. That deal, ironically, was orchestrated by Mandelson before his firing.

UK officials are bracing for TRUMP to speak freely. In June, he dropped trade documents during a photo-op, forcing Starmer to bend down and pick them up, which made British headlines for all the wrong reasons.

He could weigh in again; on free speech, after a recent comedian was arrested over a social media post, or immigration, which he said was “ruining Europe” during a summer visit to Scotland.

Both topics are weak spots for Starmer, who hasn’t convinced voters he’s got a better plan than Nigel Farage to control UK borders.

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