Trump Moves to Oust Powell Before Term Ends—Fed Shakeup Looms

Washington''s worst-kept secret is out: Trump''s gunning for Powell''s chair. Again.

The Fed''s independence? On life support as political winds shift. Market tremors ahead—because nothing says ''stable monetary policy'' like a midnight Twitter purge.

Wall Street braces for impact while DC insiders whisper about replacement candidates. Gold bugs and crypto maximalists already placing bets—because when traditional finance implodes, decentralized alternatives win.

Bonus jab: At least Powell won''t need unemployment data to find his next job.

Trump’s move adds pressure to markets already on edge

Wall Street is already reacting. Torsten Slok, chief economist at Apollo Management, said the drama over the Fed chair is part of why 10-year Treasury yields have been creeping up.

Investors are bracing for instability, especially if Powell is dumped early and Trump pushes in someone who favors aggressive rate cuts. Slok explained that this kind of uncertainty “gets priced in,” and the markets are already doing that.

The idea of a “Shadow Fed” is now being seriously discussed. Scott Bessent reportedly supported the concept before joining Trump’s team.

That means if Trump names a replacement early—before Powell is out—the nominee could start making unofficial statements and influencing policy before even being confirmed. Investors would be stuck listening to two competing voices: the actual Fed chair and the political pick waiting to take over.

Will Denyer, a strategist at Gavekal Research, said if that happens, it could “further undermine confidence in US policymaking, deliver another blow to the idea of US exceptionalism, weigh on the US dollar, and potentially push US bond yields higher on increased inflation expectations.”

Denyer added that if Trump names someone like Warsh, who doesn’t publicly echo his call for lower rates and avoids offering any kind of forward guidance, markets might stabilize. But even that’s not guaranteed.

The FOMC meets in a week to announce its rate decision. Traders aren’t expecting any rate cuts from this meeting. Data from CME Group shows investors think the Fed might start cutting rates in September, not now. So far, inflation has cooled, and the labor market isn’t as tight as it was six months ago, which is why some people close to Trump believe the Fed should act faster.

Trump administration leans on Fed while trade agenda stalls

Elyse Ausenbaugh, who runs investment strategy at J.P. Morgan Wealth Management, said she thinks a rate cut might be reasonable now. But she expects the Fed to “emphasize the ongoing uncertainty and a desire to not act too early.”

Her view reflects a bigger problem: even if there’s a case for easing, Powell isn’t convinced it’s time yet, and Trump is tired of waiting. Trump’s frustration boiled over during a meeting with Powell ending last month.

Karoline Leavitt, the WHITE House press secretary, confirmed that “the president did say that he believes the Fed chair is making a mistake by not lowering interest rates, which is putting us at an economic disadvantage to China and other countries.” She also admitted that Trump has been “very vocal about that, both publicly and now I can reveal privately as well.”

While all this is happening, Trump’s promises to deliver quick economic relief to American families are being tested. Since taking office again, he’s focused on rewriting trade deals instead of pushing direct financial relief. But the global response has been cold. Trump’s team has been trying to land dozens of trade deals, but most of those countries aren’t eager to sign anything fast.

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