Opinion Labs Shatters Records: Open Interest Rockets to $138M After Red-Hot January Surge
Opinion Labs just locked in a monster month. The protocol's open interest—the total value of unsettled contracts—has blasted past previous ceilings to set a staggering new all-time high. Forget gradual climbs; this was a vertical takeoff.
The Fuel Behind the Frenzy
January wasn't just good—it was incendiary. A confluence of factors lit the fuse: speculative fervor returning to decentralized derivatives, strategic protocol upgrades going live, and a broader market tailwind that had traders hunting for leveraged plays. Capital didn't trickle in; it flooded the gates.
What a $138M Benchmark Really Signals
That number isn't just a vanity metric. It screams institutional-grade liquidity and deepening market conviction. It tells us traders are parking serious capital and taking longer-duration positions, betting on sustained volatility or specific outcomes. For a decentralized platform, hitting this scale means it's no longer a niche experiment—it's a mainstage venue.
The Cynical Take from the Cheap Seats
Of course, on Wall Street, they'd call this 'leveraged beta' and charge a 2-and-20 fee for it. In crypto, we just build the casino, open the doors, and let the global market vote with its wallet. The house still wins, but at least the rules are transparent.
A record open interest paints a clear picture: the smart money is preparing for movement. Whether that's genius foresight or just another crowded trade waiting to unravel remains the billion-dollar question. One thing's certain—Opinion Labs just cemented itself as the arena where that question gets answered.
Opinion Labs reached record open interest while carrying close to 60% of prediction market volumes. | Source: Dune Analytics
Weekly volumes also peaked in January at over $1.6B, getting ahead of Polymarket’s activity. The rapid rise of Opinion was also tied to active promotion and its connections to the Binance ecosystem. The market reached $147M in total value locked, while easily producing between $1.74M and $1M in weekly fees.
Opinion offers a diversified market, relying on Brevis for its settlement, while aiming to avoid conflicts in resolving prediction pairs.
Opinion rises on social media engagement
Opinion goes beyond the basic prediction design of Polymarket and Kalshi. Instead, the platform was seeking engagement from day one.
The builders program aggregates projects adding services, curation, analytics, and more to the Opinion program. Most of the builders have already launched operational products, bots, and services. The Opinion team only aggregates the builders, and does not endorse or recommend investments. Despite this, the growing list shows strong engagement with the project from third parties.
Opinion has still prepared grants for builders, and has expanded with a new round of applications. For Round 2, 270 projects signed up for preview and grants.
Opinion shows organic growth despite point farming
Opinion has also started a point farming program, which is boosting its activity level. However, the market is also growing organically, as points are set up to a high difficulty level.
Currently, users must average $50 per point, although points are also assigned for connecting an idle wallet to the platform. Overall, point farming is just a part of the Opinion activity, which follows the general trend of prediction markets.
On Opinion, specific markets and topics are taking the lead with the most active prediction pairs. Macro predictions and crypto price action are the two most active categories on Opinion.
The launch of Opinion was seen as another attempt from the Binance ecosystem to catch up with trends on other networks. Opinion’s rise was quick, similar to the inflow of activity on Aster, the native BNB Chain perpetual futures market.
The project, launched with support from Yzi Labs, is also preparing for an eventual token launch. Opinion Labs is targeting crypto native users, while Polymarket and Kalshi are trying to tap mainstream adoption.
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