Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin Plunge to Low $80Ks Before Final Bottom
Bitcoiner's nightmare scenario unfolds as crypto pioneer Arthur Hayes warns of dramatic price correction
The Coming Storm
Market veteran Arthur Hayes drops bombshell prediction—Bitcoin could crater to the low $80,000 range before finding its ultimate floor. The BitMEX co-founder's warning sends shivers through crypto portfolios everywhere.
Technical Breakdown
Hayes points to multiple converging factors threatening Bitcoin's recent gains. Liquidity crunches, regulatory headwinds, and institutional profit-taking could combine to create the perfect storm for a significant pullback.
Historical Context
This wouldn't be Bitcoin's first rodeo with dramatic corrections. The digital asset has repeatedly proven its resilience through cycles of euphoria and despair—though that's cold comfort for traders watching their positions bleed.
Silver Linings Playbook
Every major correction creates buying opportunities. Hayes suggests the potential dip to low $80,000 levels could represent the final shakeout before the next leg up. Because nothing says 'sound investment' like hoping for a 30% drop so you can buy more.
Market Psychology
The prediction plays perfectly into crypto's favorite narrative—the 'blood in the streets' buying opportunity that separates diamond hands from paper-handed tourists.
Final Analysis
Whether Hayes' prophecy proves accurate or becomes another forgotten crypto prediction, one thing remains certain: in digital assets, today's catastrophe is tomorrow's 'I told you so' at the country club. The only thing more volatile than Bitcoin's price? The egos of those who claim to predict it.
Arthur Hayes sees BTC dipping
Despite this, he sees Bitcoin spending the near term chopping below $90,000. He guesses that BTC might dip into the low $80,000s, but believes that the $80K zone will ultimately hold. Bitcoin price has dropped by around 21% over the last 30 days.
Hayes was blunt in his broader view of the cycle. He argued that credit conditions matter more than the Fed’s benchmark rate itself. “We could hit ATH with Fed funds at 10% if the Fed did unlimited QE at the same time,” he wrote.
minor improvements in $ liq:
– fed qt stops dec 1, this wed will prob be last fall in b/s
– us banks increased lending in nov
we chop below $90k, maybe one more stab down into low $80k’s but i think $80k holds. might start nibbling, but leave the bazooka until the new year
— Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) November 24, 2025
He also looked into the HYPE’s much-anticipated comeback. Hayes stated that simple maths can show the only way HYPE can overcome the uncertainty and that is massively growing revenue. He mentioned that even if the HYPE team pinky swears not to sell, nothing is holding them to that. He added that this implies a 0% amount of daily pressure. Its price has dipped by more than 25% over the past 30 days. HYPE is trading around $32 at the press time.
Extreme fear still dominates
The cumulative crypto market cap managed to regain the crucial $3 trillion mark. Its 24-hour trading volume spiked by 34% to hit $150 billion. The brutal drop earlier this month is seen as one of the worst since the FTX collapse. The sell-off wiped out tens of billions in futures positions and left open interest far below October levels. The Fear and Greed index is still hovering in the “Extreme Fear” zone.
ETF flows tell the same story as worried investors have pulled out more than $3.5 billion from US Bitcoin ETFs over recent weeks. This move reversed what had been one of the strongest inflow stretches since the products launched last year.
The macro picture isn’t helping as markets are waiting for the Federal Reserve’s next policy signal. Meanwhile, the uncertainty has kept risk assets uneasy. Deutsche Bank analysts last week pointed to a combination of factors behind Bitcoin’s drawdown. They highlighted that a broader risk-off tone as tech valuations wobble.
Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Jerome Powell have stalled progress on crypto legislation in Congress. On the other side, a wave of profit-taking from long-term holders has been a massive part of the collapse.
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