Bitcoin Price Prediction: U.S. PPI Drops 0.1% as BTC Defends $113K Triangle Breakout - Here’s What Comes Next
Bitcoin's holding firm above $113,000 as macroeconomic tides shift—producer prices dip while the king crypto maintains its technical breakout momentum.
The Triangle Breakout Holding Strong
BTC isn't just clinging to gains—it's defying gravity at levels that would make traditional investors sweat. That triangle pattern everyone's been watching? Shattered. Now we're seeing whether institutional money finally wakes up to what crypto natives have known for years.
PPI Data: The Fed's Next Move
Another 0.1% drop in producer prices adds fuel to the rate cut speculation fire. Because apparently the old playbook still applies—bad economic news equals good crypto news. Wall Street analysts scramble to update their models while Bitcoin traders just keep stacking.
Where Bitcoin Goes From Here
The $113K level becomes the new battleground. Break above and we're testing all-time highs before the traditional finance crowd finishes their morning coffee. Break down? Not in this macro environment. Not with inflation cooling and the money printer warming up in the background.
Meanwhile, traditional finance pundits still can't decide whether crypto's a hedge against inflation or a risk-on asset—maybe it's both, and they're just late to the party as usual.
PPI Surprise and Market Reaction
The August PPI release was the first decline in four months, surprising economists who had expected another increase. Headline PPI fell 0.1% month-over-month, compared to July’s upwardly revised 0.7%. On a yearly basis, wholesale inflation cooled to 2.6% from 3.1%.
The details underscore the slowdown. Final demand prices for services dropped 0.2% after climbing 0.7% in July, while goods prices edged up only 0.1% compared to last month’s 0.6%. The CORE PPI for finished goods held at 2.8%, its highest level since late 2023.
The softer data eases pressure on the Fed, with markets now leaning toward a more dovish stance in September. For risk assets like Bitcoin, that backdrop is supportive, particularly as inflationary shocks fade.
- Headline PPI fell 0.1% in August vs. +0.3% expected
- Annual PPI slowed to 2.6% from 3.1% in July
- Core PPI slipped to 2.8%, its lowest since early 2024
Regulatory and Global Shifts
Macro data wasn’t the only driver this week. In the U.S., Cboe announced it will launch 10-year Bitcoin and ethereum futures pending approval. Known as “continuous futures,” these products mimic perpetual swaps commonly found in offshore markets, but are subject to U.S. regulatory oversight.
They’ll allow institutions to maintain long-dated exposure without constant rollovers, a structural change likely to boost participation.
NEW: @CBOE is set to launch 10-year $BTC & $ETH "Continuous futures" on Nov 10 (pending approval)
A regulated alternative to perpetual swaps — long-term exposure, daily cash adjustments, no rollover friction pic.twitter.com/hEv4xkGpMG
Elsewhere, Kyrgyzstan advanced a bill to create a state-backed crypto reserve and launch national mining operations. The proposal would diversify state holdings through tokenization, stablecoins, and direct Bitcoin accumulation.
The Parliament of Kyrgyzstan has passed amendments to the bill “On VIRTUAL Assets” in all three readings at once, establishing regulations for the #crypto market in the country.
The bill addresses multiple aspects of Kyrgyzstan’s crypto adoption, including creating a legal… pic.twitter.com/ntHSj0xchi
Meanwhile, U.S. SEC Chair Paul Atkins unveiled “Project Crypto” in Paris, signaling a shift from strict enforcement toward clear rules. Atkins emphasized that most tokens should not be classified as securities, echoing Europe’s MiCA framework.
CRYPTO CLARITY IS COMING
SEC Chairman Atkins says it plain: Most crypto assets are NOT securities.
But the confusion is killing innovation.
Entrepreneurs like Sen. Bernie Moreno are using blockchain to modernize everything from car titles to legacy systems.
They don’t… pic.twitter.com/egUqSJqfei
Together, these developments underscore a steady institutionalization of cryptocurrency: the expansion of U.S. futures, state-level adoption abroad, and regulatory clarity at home. All are tailwinds for Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory.
Technical Outlook for Bitcoin
On the charts, bitcoin is consolidating just beneath a breakout level at $113,800. The two-hour chart displays an ascending triangle pattern, characterized by higher lows that press against flat resistance.
The 50-period SMA at $111,896 is trending upward, while the 200-period SMA at $112,738 sits directly below price action, reinforcing support.
The Relative Strength Index holds NEAR 64, reflecting strong but not overheated momentum. Back-to-back bullish candlesticks further confirm buyers remain in control. If Bitcoin can close above $113,800, the path on TradingView projects upside toward $115,400, then $117,150, and $118,617. A sustained breakout could lift BTC toward $125,000 in the medium term.
Failure to hold above $112,000 WOULD weaken the bullish case, with risks of a slide back to $111,000, $110,000, and $108,450. Bearish candlestick sequences like an engulfing pattern or three black crows at resistance would confirm such a reversal.
Bitcoin is consolidating just under $113.8K resistance within an ascending triangle. A breakout could target $115.4K–$117.1K, while failure risks $112K–$110K support.
— Arslan Ali (@forex_arslan) September 11, 2025For traders, the setup is clear: longs are favored on confirmation above $113,800 with stops under $111,000, targeting $117K to $125K. With macro data softening, institutional products expanding, and adoption broadening globally, Bitcoin’s current triangle may be less about short-term noise and more about laying the groundwork for its next major rally. If momentum aligns with these structural shifts, BTC’s march toward $130,000 could come sooner than many expect.
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