Bitcoin Price Prediction: Gold Soars to Record Highs While BTC Dips – Is the Flight to Safety On?

Gold just shattered records while Bitcoin wobbles—sparking the age-old debate: safety first or risk-on rally?

The Great Rotation Question

Traditional safe havens glow as digital assets face headwinds. Gold's meteoric rise contrasts sharply with Bitcoin's recent stumble, leaving investors questioning where to park their capital.

Market psychology shifts beneath the surface. When uncertainty looms, the allure of tangible assets strengthens—yet crypto's long-term thesis remains unshaken by short-term fluctuations.

Wall Street's favorite narrative—'this time it's different'—gets another test as portfolios rebalance. Because nothing says 'prudent investing' like chasing all-time highs in precious metals while pretending volatility doesn't exist elsewhere.

Geopolitics Push Investors Into Gold

Markets were shaken after Israel launched an unprecedented strike in Qatar targeting senior Hamas officials. The escalation rattled global sentiment, sparking a rush into Gold and oil while Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies fell in tandem with equities.

UPDATEGOLD HITS NEW ALL-TIME HIGH OF $3,667! pic.twitter.com/hkOyAAEzTf

Data from Coinglass highlighted the scale of the fallout. Nearly $370 million in Leveraged positions were liquidated within 24 hours, including $52 million in just one hour.

Long traders bore the brunt, with $44 million erased, led by ethereum at $11.9 million and Bitcoin at $10.5 million. Solana, XRP, and Dogecoin also posted losses, with DOGE dropping 3.2%.

Meanwhile, gold surged to a new record high and oil ROSE by $1 per barrel, reflecting the classic “flight to safety” behavior during crises. Correlation data shows Bitcoin’s 30-day rolling correlation with gold has turned negative, busting the “digital gold” narrative.

• $370M in crypto liquidations within 24 hours
• Gold hit a record as geopolitical risks spiked
• Bitcoin tracked risk assets rather than safe havens

Bitcoin’s Safe-Haven Challenge

The gap between bitcoin and gold shows a credibility gap. Gold’s rally proved it’s a trusted hedge, while Bitcoin’s intraday decline was more like high-beta risk assets.

Traders are shifting away from volatile tokens into stablecoins and cash, and Bitcoin has yet to establish a safe-haven status in times of crisis.

Analysts argue that until institutional confidence deepens, Bitcoin will remain more correlated with equities than with traditional hedges. The immediate reaction to the Doha strike demonstrated that geopolitical stress still pushes crypto into risk-off territory, even as institutional flows into ETFs continue to grow.

Technical Outlook for Bitcoin (BTC/USD)

Despite the macroeconomic chaos, the technicals remain bullish. The two-hour chart is a classic ascending triangle, with higher lows pushing against resistance at $113,800.

Momentum indicators are in favor: RSI is above 64, and the 50-SMA at $111,606 is rising towards the breakout zone. The 200-SMA at $112,716 adds a supportive LAYER beneath current price action.

If Bitcoin holds above $113,800, upside targets include $115,400, $117,150, and $118,600. A more decisive breakout could extend to $125,000 in the medium term.

However, failure to sustain above $112,000 risks a retracement toward $111,000, $110,000, and possibly $108,450. Bearish candlestick signals, such as an engulfing pattern or three-black-crows sequence, WOULD validate a reversal.

Bitcoin is testing $113,800 resistance after forming an ascending triangle. A close above could target $115.4K–$117.1K, while failure risks $111K–$110K support. pic.twitter.com/RsViU8KOTT

For traders, the roadmap is clear: long positions are favored above $113,800 with stops below $111,000 and profit targets between $117,000 and $125,000. With institutional demand rising and technicals pointing to strength, Bitcoin may yet stage a recovery.

If momentum holds, this consolidation could prove the base for a rally that carries BTC closer to the $130,000 milestone—reminding investors that its long-term supercycle remains intact despite short-term shocks.

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