Solana Price Prediction: SOL Surges 12% Overnight – But This One Signal Could Derail Everything

Solana rockets 12% in a single session—traders cheer, but one technical warning flashes red.

The Rebound Rally

SOL bulls charge back, slicing through short-term resistance. The overnight bounce paints a bullish picture on the charts, fueling speculation of a larger trend reversal. Momentum indicators tick upward, and social sentiment turns euphoric almost instantly.

The Hidden Fault Line

Beneath the green candles, a critical divergence emerges. One key signal—often ignored in the frenzy—refuses to confirm the breakout strength. It’s the classic setup that has trapped overeager investors before: price action shouting one thing, underlying momentum whispering another.

High Stakes, Higher Volatility

Solana’s ecosystem thrives on speed, but its token often moves with the subtlety of a sledgehammer. This disconnect between network utility and token price swings creates a trader’s paradise—and a novice’s nightmare. The current setup is no different, offering massive upside potential paired with a risk of a sharp, sentiment-driven reversal.

The Verdict: Trust the Tape, Not the Hype

While the 12% gain grabs headlines, the smart money watches that one lagging signal. A failure to confirm here could see gains evaporate faster than a memecoin rug pull. In crypto, sometimes the most important action is the one you don’t take—a lesson Wall Street veterans learn repeatedly, just before they charge into the next bubble anyway.

This One Signal Could Ruin Everything

Long-term holders are backing away from Solana at the worst possible time. HODLer Net Position Change data shows accumulation is slowing down dramatically after last week’s sharp pullback.

These diamond-handed investors usually provide crucial price support during rough patches. But their conviction appears shaken, and that’s a massive red flag for sustainability.

The Money Flow Index is approaching oversold levels below 20.0. This typically signals that sellers exhaustion is setting in.

Solana has only hit oversold levels three times in the past two and a half years. Each time, it led to meaningful price stabilization or even reversals that caught bears off guard.

Solana Price Prediction: Will SOL Break Under $70 Support?

Solana is still stuck in a descending channel and has now slipped below that structure into the $85 to $90 area, which is acting as short-term support for now.

Trend wise, nothing has really changed. This is still a bearish setup with lower highs and lower lows firmly in place.

If this support gives way, the next major downside level sits around $70, which is the last strong demand zone.

The first resistance to watch is around $100, but the real level that matters is $144. A daily close above $144 WOULD be the signal that the downtrend is likely over and a real bullish shift is underway.

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