Bitcoin’s 35-Month Boom Cycle: Why October 2025 Could Be the Next Crypto Peak
Bitcoin's price moves in mysterious ways—but one analyst claims to have cracked its 35-month rhythm. If history repeats, we're barreling toward another all-time high by October 2025.
The Halving Effect
Past cycles suggest Bitcoin's post-halving rallies last roughly 17 months. With the last block reward cut in April 2024, the math points to Q4 2025 for peak euphoria—just in time for Wall Street to 'discover' crypto again.
A Familiar Dance
Retail FOMO meets institutional greed as the cycle completes. TradFi analysts will suddenly remember their 'long-term blockchain thesis' (conveniently around bonus season).
One rule remains constant: When your Uber driver starts quoting Fibonacci levels, it's probably time to check your stop-losses.
Why the timing argument resonates
Bitcoin’s cycles have often been discussed in relation to halving dates, liquidity waves, and macro policy. Colin’s bottom-to-top timing sidesteps those drivers and simply measures market behavior. A repeated 35-month cadence suggests investor psychology and capital flows may settle into a rhythm-long enough for disbelief to turn to euphoria, but not so long that excesses can’t build.
What could break the pattern
History rhymes, it doesn’t repeat. Exogenous shocks (policy pivots, recession, major ETF flows, security events) can truncate or elongate cycles. Even if October 2025 proves pivotal, the “top” could be a range in time-a cluster of highs-rather than a single daily print.
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How to use (and not misuse) the model
For long-horizon participants, a date-based framework can help stage entries and de-risking, while avoiding the trap of chasing parabolic moves late in the cycle. For traders, it’s a context tool, not a signal: breadth, funding, options skew, and on-chain distribution still matter for timing.
The takeaway: if Bitcoin’s bottom-to-top rhythm holds NEAR 35 months, the window for a cycle climax opens in Q4 2025. Expect diminishing percentage gains, wider swings into that window, and remember that models guide—they don’t guarantee. This is not financial advice.
