BitMEX Founder’s Million-Dollar Bet: Bitcoin to $1M by 2028?
Arthur Hayes just threw gasoline on the crypto hype machine—predicting Bitcoin will smash the $1 million barrier within three years. The former BitMEX CEO’s forecast comes as institutional money floods into BTC ETFs and the halving cycle tightens supply.
Why this matters: If Hayes is right (and let’s face it, crypto ’visionaries’ have a spotty track record), early hodlers would see returns that make traditional finance’s 7% annual gains look like pocket change. Wall Street bankers might need a second yacht.
The fine print: This projection assumes Bitcoin’s current adoption curve holds—no regulatory crackdowns, no black swan events, and definitely no repeat of Mt. Gox-style disasters. But in crypto, when has the market ever played by the rules?

Should trade negotiations break down, Hayes expects policymakers to respond with stimulus-driven strategies designed to project economic strength—a move he believes WOULD further fuel Bitcoin’s ascent.
“This time,” he noted, “Bitcoin isn’t just reacting to markets—it’s positioned to thrive on the structural shift in global power and monetary expansion.”
In his view, the mix of geopolitical friction and inflationary policy could send Bitcoin to levels well beyond anything seen in previous cycles.