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PETR4 on Alert: Time to Buy or Sell in 2025? Petrobras CEO Warns, "Those Who Sell Will Regret It"

PETR4 on Alert: Time to Buy or Sell in 2025? Petrobras CEO Warns, "Those Who Sell Will Regret It"

Published:
2025-08-19 13:46:02
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Petrobras (PETR4) shares have plunged over 17% this year, with a 7% drop in August alone, sparking debate among investors. CEO Magda Chambriard insists the stock is undervalued, while analysts like Ruy Hungria highlight its long-term potential despite disappointing Q2 2025 dividends. This DEEP dive explores whether PETR4 is a strategic buy for passive income or a risky bet—plus, discover four other high-dividend stocks poised to outperform.

Why Is PETR4 Under Pressure?

Petrobras shares (PETR4) are down 17% year-to-date, with a 7% slump in August 2025 alone. The decline follows weaker-than-expected Q2 dividends—just a 2% yield—which rattled the market. CEO Magda Chambriard’s defiant stance (“Those who sell will regret it”) clashes with investor skepticism, but is the pessimism overblown? Let’s break it down.

Q2 2025 Results: What Went Wrong?

Petrobras’ August earnings report showed a return to profitability after last year’s losses, but the dividend payout disappointed. Analysts expected a juicier yield, and the 2% figure triggered a sell-off. However, the BTCC research team notes that short-term turbulence doesn’t erase Petrobras’ strengths: high-quality reserves, low extraction costs, and robust pre-salt operations. As Ruy Hungria puts it, “This is a cash-flow machine—just wait for production to ramp up.”

The Long-Game Case for PETR4

Hungria projects a potential 10%+ annual dividend yield for Petrobras by late 2025, calling the current dip a buying opportunity. Here’s why:

  • Valuation: PETR4 is now cheaper, with upside potential if oil prices rebound.
  • Cash Flow: Free cash flow remains strong, supporting future payouts.
  • Sector Leadership: Petrobras dominates Brazil’s energy market with untapped reserves.

“In my view, the market’s overreacting,” says Hungria. “This is a long-term play for dividend hunters.”

Beyond Petrobras: 4 Top Dividend Stocks for 2025

Petrobras isn’t the only income gem. A curated portfolio highlights five stocks (including PETR4) with:

  • Resilient Business Models: Companies thriving in tough economies.
  • Market Leadership: Sector leaders with competitive moats.
  • Attractive Valuations: Margin of safety + growth potential.

While we can’t reveal all five here (access the full report for free), expect names from stable sectors like utilities, banking, and commodities.

Key Risks to Watch

No investment is bulletproof. For PETR4, monitor:

  • Oil Volatility: Brent crude swings could impact margins.
  • Policy Shifts: Government influence on Petrobras’ strategy.
  • Dividend Sustainability: Payout ratios must align with capex needs.

Bottom Line: Buy the Dip or Wait?

PETR4’s recent slump makes it tempting for contrarians. If you believe in Brazil’s oil rebound and can stomach volatility, accumulating shares at these levels might pay off. But diversify—those other four dividend stocks could balance your portfolio. As Chambriard said, regret favors the hasty.

FAQs: Your PETR4 Questions Answered

Is PETR4 a good dividend stock for 2025?

Analysts like Ruy Hungria project a 10%+ yield by year-end, but Q2 payouts disappointed. Long-term holders may benefit.

Why did PETR4 drop 7% in August?

Weak Q2 dividends (2% yield) and broader energy sector headwinds drove the sell-off.

What’s Petrobras’ CEO’s outlook?

Magda Chambriard insists the stock is undervalued, warning sellers will “regret it.”

How does PETR4 compare to other dividend stocks?

It’s riskier than utilities but offers higher upside if oil rebounds. Diversification is key.

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