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Bitcoin’s October Surge: $268M Short Squeeze as BTC Reclaims $117K (2025 Update)

Bitcoin’s October Surge: $268M Short Squeeze as BTC Reclaims $117K (2025 Update)

Published:
2025-10-02 04:04:02
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Bitcoin just delivered a classic "Uptober" moment – a violent $15.79M hourly short squeeze catapulted prices past $117,300, triggering $268M in total liquidations this week. While ETH faces its own liquidity cliff at $4,400, our analysis reveals why this rally smells more like a whale trap than a bull run. Buckle up as we break down the liquidations bloodbath with CoinGlass data, decode BTC's 57% dominance surge killing altseason, and expose the hidden leverage games behind this move.

The Short Squeeze Heard Across Crypto Twitter

Picture this: It's 3 AM on October 2, 2025 when BTC suddenly rips through $117,000 like a hot knife through butter. Within 60 minutes, $15.79 million worth of Leveraged short positions got vaporized on BTCC and other major exchanges. By dawn, the liquidation tally hit $178M for BTC alone - with cross-crypto liquidations surpassing $600M according to CoinGlass metrics. That's when the real fun began.

BTC liquidates $15M in the last hour as price breaks above $117,000

What makes this MOVE fascinating? The velocity. After weeks of long position liquidations, the market did a 180-degree flip so fast that shorts didn't have time to react. As one BTCC analyst joked, "This wasn't a squeeze - it was a hydraulic press." The $107K support held firm, creating the perfect springboard for this liquidation cascade.

Liquidation Mechanics: How $15M Became $268M

Here's where it gets technical. When BTC breached $117K, it triggered a chain reaction:

  • Hour 1: $15.79M shorts liquidated as stop losses hit
  • Next 6 Hours: Another $162M in BTC shorts got wrecked
  • Domino Effect: ETH saw $152M liquidations despite smaller moves

TradingView charts show the exact moment the liquidation engine kicked in - a textbook example of how over-leverage amplifies volatility. The BTCC derivatives team noted unusually high open interest at $113K-$112K, suggesting whales were building long positions before the squeeze.

Altcoins: Casualties of BTC's Dominance Surge

While BTC flexed its muscles with 57% market dominance (per CoinMarketCap), altcoins paid the price:

CoinPrice24h Change
ETH$4,300+3.2%
BNB$1,022+1.8%
SOL$220+5.6%
ZEC$89+12.4%

Ironically, privacy coin ZEC became the unlikely winner with a 12% surge. As one veteran trader quipped, "When BTC dominance rises, the alts that survive are either the strongest...or the most forgotten."

The Government Shutdown Wildcard

Here's where things get spicy. Historical data shows BTC rallies during US government shutdowns (2013: +40%, 2018: +20%). With the current shutdown entering week three, some traders are piling into crypto as a hedge against dollar weakness. But beware - these rallies often end with brutal corrections.

As the BTCC research team cautioned: "This smells like a liquidity grab rather than organic demand. The same whales liquidating shorts today could flip long tomorrow." Their advice? Watch the $113K support - if it holds, we might see another leg up; if not, prepare for long liquidations.

ETH's $1B Liquidation Cliffhanger

While BTC stole the show, ETH's setup is equally dramatic. Our analysis of CoinGlass data reveals:

  • Short Trap: $1B in shorts vulnerable at $4,400
  • Long Risk: $800M longs at risk if ETH drops to $4,200
  • Recent Activity: Just $8M liquidations in 4 hours vs BTC's $178M

This asymmetric liquidity suggests ETH could become the next battleground. As one options trader on TradingView noted, "ETH's lower liquidity makes it prone to explosive moves when these clusters get triggered."

FAQ: Your Burning Questions Answered

How much was liquidated in the BTC rally?

Total cross-crypto liquidations hit $600M on October 1-2, with BTC accounting for $268M of that. The most violent move saw $15.79M shorts liquidated in one hour when BTC reclaimed $117K.

Why did BTC dominance increase?

BTC's market cap dominance rose to 57% because institutional players typically flock to bitcoin during periods of uncertainty (like the US government shutdown), while retail traders pull back from altcoins.

Is this rally sustainable?

The neutral funding rates and high leverage suggest this may be a short-term deleveraging event rather than a sustained bull move. Historically, government shutdown rallies tend to be followed by sharp corrections.

What's next for ETH price?

Ethereum faces critical tests at $4,400 (where $1B in shorts could liquidate) and $4,200 (where $800M longs are at risk). The path of least resistance depends on which cluster gets triggered first.

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