XRP’s 2025 Setup Mirrors 2017 Bull Run - Experts Predict Explosive Growth

History doesn't repeat—but it sure rhymes. XRP's current technical formation mirrors its legendary 2017 setup, sparking analyst frenzy across trading desks.

The Pattern That Launched a Thousand Ships

Chart overlays show near-identical consolidation patterns before the 2017 parabolic move. Same wedge formation. Same volume profile. Same regulatory clarity breakthrough that finally gave institutional players the green light.

Market veterans note the eerie similarities: retail FOMO hasn't even begun hitting mainstream channels yet. Liquidity pools are building while traditional finance sleeps on yet another digital asset revolution—because apparently, learning from history is too much to ask from guys in $5,000 suits.

This time, the infrastructure's mature. Exceptions handle real settlement volume. Banks actually use the damn thing. The stage gets set for a move that could make 2017 look like a mere dress rehearsal.

In brief

• Some technical analysts see in the current XRP price a repetition of the 2017 bullish pattern.
• They anticipate a price explosion up to $20, based on a symmetrical triangle similar to the one observed before the previous bull run.
• This approach relies exclusively on chart elements, without considering current economic or behavioral fundamentals.
• The current context, much more competitive, makes a repetition of XRP’s past performances unlikely.

Supporters of a graphical remake of the 2017 bull run

Some influential analysts in the crypto sphere, including CRYPTOWZRD and JD, claim that the current technical setup of the xrp price recalls that which preceded the +11,900 % explosion recorded in 2017.

At that time, XRP had evolved for several months in a symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern, before breaking sharply upwards and triggering a historic rally.

According to CRYPTOWZRD, “the current behavior of the XRP market almost exactly reflects the dynamics before its 2017 bull run”.

⚠️ BUYING TIME 😇

Strip it back to basics and you can see..

🚨 $XRP is identical to 2017’s Bull Run Structure.. the longer it consolidates the bigger the explosion 🚀

Hold on tight.. 💪🏻 pic.twitter.com/aZo2Liqd6d

JD mentions a theoretical target of 20 dollars per crypto, based on similar technical extrapolation.

$XRP – Current pattern looks like 2017 when it 10x+ after breakout!

Then RUG PULL crashed 95%! Dumb Money "Know what they hold" for 7 SAD years!

I called 0.28 bottom w/TA; I'll call MARKET TOP next before RUG PULL CRASH that's coming using TA!

500 RTs, I'll post my TOP on X!… pic.twitter.com/lmlcLEDKn8

This thesis relies exclusively on a chartist approach, according to which prices obey recurring cycles, regardless of current fundamentals. Supporters of this view base themselves on several graphical elements, including :

• A current consolidation phase reminiscent of the 2017 structure (symmetrical triangle over several months) ;
• An expected bullish breakout, identified by analysts as imminent ;
• A theoretical target set at $20, based on the projection of the triangle’s amplitude ;
• A conviction that history repeats itself, despite the market’s evolution over eight years.

This narrative, visually convincing, resonates on social media, where the prospect of a “second 2017” attracts many retail investors.  

Fundamental signals contradicting the promise of a rally

Unlike 2017, behavioral data from long-term XRP holders today show a marked loss of conviction. Relying on the NUPL indicator (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) provided by Glassnode, it should be noted that these investors have shifted from the “euphoria and greed” zone to that of “conviction and denial.” This declining sentiment suggests that holders now doubt the rally’s strength.

In 2017, the same metric showed a prolonged maintenance in euphoria, a sign of strong commitment despite volatility. This growing hesitation reflects a loss of confidence, similar to that observed just before the 2021 correction.

Another breaking point element is XRP’s chronic underperformance against Bitcoin. If the XRP/BTC ratio ROSE by more than 3,700 % in 2017 to peak at 0.00023 BTC, it currently remains about 90 % below that peak, stuck in a distribution zone between 0.000025 and 0.000030 BTC, already tested several times between 2019 and 2022.

This technical level, historically synonymous with stagnation or pullback, illustrates Ripple’s crypto inability to regain leadership against the market’s dominant assets.

These profound divergences between the 2017 context and this year’s call for a cautious interpretation. The crypto market is now more mature, more competitive, and XRP must compete with serious rivals such as Ethereum, Solana, Sui, or even stablecoins in the cross-border payments sector. The scenario of an impulsive bull run driven solely by technical analysis therefore seems fragile. At present, nothing confirms that the conditions are met for a repetition of the 2017 cycle.

Maximize your Cointribune experience with our "Read to Earn" program! For every article you read, earn points and access exclusive rewards. Sign up now and start earning benefits.