Peter Brandt Warns: Bitcoin’s Make-or-Break Moment Is Here

Veteran trader Peter Brandt just dropped a bombshell—Bitcoin's at a critical inflection point. Again.

The chart whisperer—who called Bitcoin's 2018 bottom—sees history rhyming as BTC teeters near a decisive technical threshold. No numbers, no fluff. Just pure price-action tension.

Will institutional 'hodlers' finally get their act together? Or is this another fakeout before Wall Street's algo-traders siphon more retail capital? Place your bets.

(Funny how these 'key moments' always seem to coincide with CME futures expiry weeks. But sure, this time it's 'different.')

In brief

• Peter Brandt believes that Bitcoin could reach a temporary peak within the next six weeks.
• Bitcoin’s price has oscillated between $112,000 and $123,000 in recent weeks, with a return above $117,000.
• Brandt’s analysis is based on historical observation of post-halving cycles and their peak points.
• Some analysts, including Matt Hougan, believe that the four-year cycle might be disappearing.

A peak within the next six weeks ?

While we notice a massive outflow of capital from bitcoin in favor of Ethereum, Peter Brandt, a respected trading figure, stated on the social network X that “according to how I perceive the bitcoin cycles, from low to high with halving marking the midpoint (+/- one to two weeks), a tradable peak could occur within the next six weeks”.

According to how I view the cycles in Bitcoin (low to high with halving marking the mid point (+/- one to two weeks) a tradable top could occur within the next six or so weeks https://t.co/uFjGCgduP1

This prediction fits into a context where bitcoin has experienced significant movements in recent weeks :

• August 2 : a drop to $112,000, the lowest recent level ;
• Mid-July : price holding within a range around $117,000 ;
• July 14 : a record of $123,000, the last historic peak ;
• A current return to $117,656, an increase of 0.89 % over 24 hours and 3.6 % over the week.

For Brandt, this time window could correspond to the last bullish phase before a significant pullback. His warning is based on a history of cycles where halving plays a pivotal role, often preceding a price acceleration followed by a pronounced correction.

Towards the end of the classic Bitcoin cycle ?

Beyond the deadline set by Brandt, another debate stirs the community : that of the survival of the historical four-year cycle.

This model, widely accepted until now, predicted a strong post-halving increase, followed by a peak, then a 70 to 80 % correction, leading to a long period of significant crypto price decline. However, several recent signals suggest that this mechanism might weaken or even disappear.

Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, specifies that “the four-year cycle could be over, but for this to be official, bitcoin must perform well in 2026”. He attributes this possible break to the rise of Bitcoin ETFs, the changing profile of investors, and a more favorable regulatory environment.

If these factors change the market structure, the historical LINK between halving and price phases could lose its relevance, making predictions based on this pattern more uncertain.

The next six weeks will therefore be both a test for Peter Brandt’s forecast and for the robustness of the cyclical model that has guided many investment strategies. If the Bitcoin price reaches a peak within the announced window, supporters of the traditional cycle will see confirmation. Otherwise, the market could well enter an era where other forces, institutional, regulatory or macroeconomic, take precedence over historical benchmarks.

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