Solana vs. Sui: Who Bounces Back Stronger After the Crypto Bloodbath?

Blockchain heavyweights Solana and Sui took brutal hits in the latest market correction—but their recovery paths couldn’t be more different.

Solana’s speed vs. Sui’s Move language: Which tech stack wins post-crash?

Developer exodus or diamond hands? Network activity reveals who’s still building through the pain.

VC-backed ’Ethereum killers’ always promise the moon—until traders remember gravity exists.

In Brief

• In January, Raoul Pal was betting on an explosive future for Solana and Sui, despite a sluggish market.
• He forecasted $410 for SOL and praised the surge of SUI above $5, driven by record volumes.
• Since then, both cryptos have dropped, but his technical and macro analysis remains relevant for long-term investors.

Solana vs Sui: The Battle of Layer 1 Blockchains

Solana and Sui cryptos are establishing themselves as champions of Layer 1. However, their architectures differ radically. Solana combines Proof-of-History and Proof-of-Stake. This combination guarantees very high throughput and near-symbolic fees. Thus, DeFi and NFTs thrive there. However, repeated outages highlight its limitations.

This explains the density of its ecosystem. Yet, the shadow of network-wide failures still looms.

This choice makes SUI ideal for video games and Web3 applications. However, its still nascent ecosystem suffers from a lack of partners and developers. A hurdle for broad adoption.

Given these distinctions, the duel promises to be exciting. Solana dominates the scene today. Sui, younger, bets on innovation. Each responds to a specific need. Both blockchains should coexist, each in its niche.

Raoul Pal: Between Caution and “Stupid Bullish”

At the beginning of the year, Raoul Pal qualified Solana as “stupid bullish” in the long term. His analysis, based on a logarithmic chart, identified a major resistance around $250, a level last reached in November 2021.

For him, maintaining this threshold was crucial to envision a true breakout. He then mentioned an ambitious target: $410, corresponding to Fibonacci level 1.618, which some analysts consider a key price discovery zone.

Since this prediction, the market has not followed the expected trajectory. Solana, which was trading around $216 in early January, underwent a severe correction, dropping to $95 before stabilizing around $150 today. While the bullish scenario remains theoretically valid, the path looks steeper than expected.

On the Sui side, the initial enthusiasm was similar. In January, the crypto broke through resistance at $4.88 to reach a peak of $5.22, with volumes tripling in 24 hours, exceeding $2.45 billion.

Pal was excited then: “Sui is ready to enter hyperspace“, estimating that long-term investors could carry this momentum. Yet, the breath quickly faded. SUI crypto slipped to $1.71 before rebounding to $3.45 today. Volatility has remained central to its trajectory.

Despite his enthusiasm, Raoul Pal did not ignore warning signs. He reminded that massive token unlocks were expected in the first quarter of 2025, which could weigh heavily on prices.

Ultimately, the Optimism from January clashed with the reality of a nervous market. While Pal’s vision was meant to be bold, it was based on solid technical foundations. It remains to be seen if the market will prove him right — sooner or later. For the cautious trader, these analyses offer clues and precautions with bitcoin near 100,000 dollars.

Maximize your Cointribune experience with our "Read to Earn" program! For every article you read, earn points and access exclusive rewards. Sign up now and start earning benefits.