Bitcoin Stages Comeback: Bullish Signals Flash as Technicals Turn Green
After weeks of sideways action, Bitcoin’s chart prints the first convincing reversal pattern since the 2025 halving. The 200-week moving average holds as institutional money creeps back in—just as the Wall Street suits start calling it ’digital gold’ again.
Key levels to watch: A clean break above $85k confirms the uptrend, while failure at $78k spells trouble. Meme coin degens are already levering up—some things never change.
Closing thought: When the Fed inevitably cuts rates next quarter, expect every hedge fund manager to suddenly ’understand the macro case for crypto.’ Where were these geniuses at $50k?
In Brief
- BTC/USD Technical Analysis: Bitcoin consolidates below a key resistance following a strong rebound (+10%), with increased volumes and a confirmed bullish trend across all time frames.
- Derivatives Analysis (BTC/USDT): speculative activity is picking up, with a rising open interest, buyer dominance, a short squeeze, and a moderately positive funding rate.
- Bitcoin (BTC) Price Forecast: bullish scenario validated if BTC remains above $91,600, with targets up to $109,354; below this threshold, risk of correction toward $74,500.
- The technical context remains favorable, but market reactions to key zones and macroeconomic data will be decisive for what comes next.
BTC/USD Technical Analysis
| Indicator | Status | Comment |
| BTC Spot Price | $94,925 | Consolidation below key resistance at $95,150; technical level to watch for bullish confirmation. |
| Recent Weekly Changes | +10.17% | Major technical rebound, strongest weekly gain since November 2024. |
| Recent Weekly Volumes | 35B (+73%) | Significant surge in activity, validating momentum recovery. |
| Long-term Trend (SMA 200) | Bullish | Trend intact, supporting a positive long-term bias. |
| Medium-term Trend (SMA 50) | Bullish | Confirmed reversal signals to the upside. |
| Short-term Trend (SMA 20) | Bullish | Complete alignment of averages favoring bulls. |
| Momentum | Recovery | Technical divergence indicating potential continuation of the movement. |
| Resistances | $95,150 / $100,000 | Critical zones, potential distribution thresholds. |
| Support | $82,750 / $78,500 | Major defense levels, probable accumulation zones. |
| Value Area | $96,600 / $67,350 | Likely liquidity band and market equilibrium. |
| Market Sentiment (Fear & Greed Index) | Greed | Euphoric sentiment confirming renewed risk appetite. |
| BTC Spot ETF Flows (net flows) | Significant inflows | Institutional flows support the current trend. |
Bitcoin is currently consolidating below the key resistance level of $95,150 after recording its strongest weekly increase (+10.17%) since November 2024. The rebound in weekly volumes (+73%) attests to a sharp recovery in activity. The trend remains bullish across all horizons (short, medium, and long term), confirmed by the positions of moving averages (SMA 20, 50, and 200) and a bullish divergence signal on momentum. Main resistances are located at $95,150 and $100,000, while major support is identified between $82,750 and $78,500. The value area ranges from $96,600 to $67,350. Market sentiment leans toward greed, and inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs are rising sharply, reinforcing the bullish momentum.
The current technical analysis was conducted in collaboration with Elyfe, an investor and educator in the cryptocurrency market.
Derivatives Analysis (BTC/USDT)
| Indicator | Status | Comment |
| Open interest | Rising | Return of speculative activity, validating bullish conviction. |
| CVD | Buyer dominance | Buyers regain control, possible bullish leverage effect. |
| Liquidation | Strong, on shorts | Squeeze on short sellers, potential upward momentum driver. |
| Funding rate | Slightly positive | Bullish positioning but not extreme; no overheating. |
In BTC/USDT derivatives, an increase in open interest is observed, indicating renewed speculative interest after a phase of stability. The CVD is rebounding, signaling recent buyer predominance. Strong liquidations have occurred on the shorts side, confirming upward pressure on the market. The funding rate is slightly positive, reflecting moderate buying demand without excessive optimism.
| Indicator | Status | Comment |
| Seller Liquidation Zone | ≈ $96,000 – $98,000 / $100,000 & $107,400 | Sensitive areas in case of breakout, risk of movement amplification. |
| Buyer Liquidation Zone | ≈ $84,000 – $81,000 / $74,400 – $73,400 | Critical thresholds to the downside, potential flush zones. |
The main seller liquidation zones are located between $96,000 and $98,000, as well as NEAR $100,000 and $107,400, constituting critical levels likely to amplify a bullish acceleration. Conversely, the main buyer liquidation zones are between $84,000 and $81,000, then between $74,400 and $73,400, the latter representing a strategic threshold in case of a prolonged correction without buyer support.
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Forecast
Bullish Scenario:
- Conditions: Stay above $91,600.
- Targets: $95,150 / $100,000 / $107,000 / ATH at $109,354.
- Potential: Approximately +15% from the current level.
Bearish Scenario:
- Conditions: Break below support at $91,600.
- Targets: $84,000 / $82,700 / $81,300 / $79,000 / $74,500.
- Potential: Drop of up to -21%.
Commentary:
The bias is currently bullish, but the approach of U.S. economic data (GDP, PCE) will be decisive to validate this scenario.
BTCUSD chart by TradingViewConclusion
Bitcoin is evolving in a bullish dynamic driven by a solid technical recovery and renewed market interest. The trend remains positive as long as major support levels hold. Particular attention must be paid to price reactions at key zones and macroeconomic factors that could quickly influence the market direction. In this context, closely monitoring price reactions at strategic levels will be essential to confirm or adjust the current forecasts.
Finally, remember that these analyses are based solely on technical criteria, and cryptocurrency prices can evolve rapidly according to other more fundamental factors.
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