Bitcoin Soars Past $113.5k as Traders Bet Big on 2025 Fed Rate Cuts

Bitcoin just smashed through the $113,500 barrier—traders are piling in ahead of expected Federal Reserve rate cuts next year.

Why the surge? Markets are pricing in a dovish turn from the Fed, and crypto’s leading asset is front-running the momentum.

Rate cuts typically weaken the dollar and boost risk-on assets. Bitcoin, as a non-sovereign store of value, stands to gain big when traditional monetary policy goes soft.

Some on Wall Street still call it a speculative bubble—but then again, they said the same thing at $10k, $50k, and $100k. Meanwhile, Bitcoin keeps climbing.

If the Fed does ease next year, expect even more institutional money to flood into crypto. Just don’t expect the usual finance bros to admit they were wrong.

Bitcoin (BTC) price has rallied above $114k for the first time in more than two on Wednesday, September 10. The flagship coin surged above a key midterm resistance level around $113.5k during the mid-New York session, after three failed attempts in the past two weeks.

The wider altcoin industry followed in tandem, led by Binance Coin (BNB) and Solana (SOL), thus pushing the total crypto market cap above $4 trillion again. 

Bitcoin Price Edges Higher on Rising Odds of Fed Rate Cuts

The wider crypto market rallied on Wednesday following the release of August PPI inflation, which fell to 2.6% below the expectations of 3.3%. Additionally, the Core PPI dropped to 2.8%, below the market expectations of 3.5%, thus increasing the odds of Fed rate cut next week.

According to market data from Kalshi, the chances of a 25 bps Fed rate cut is at 80% while the odds of a rate cut higher than 25bps is at 18%. Meanwhile, Kalshi traders project the chance of 3 rate cuts at 44%, higher than 2 rate cuts at 39%, which overtook it for the first time since April.

Wells Fargo on Fed Rate Cuts

Wells Fargo analysts expect the Federal Reserve to deliver five 25 bps rate cuts through mid 2026. The bank projects that the Fed will lower its benchmark interest rates to 3.5% and 3.75% by the end of this year. 

Meanwhile, President Donald TRUMP urged Fed Chair Jerome Powell to lower rates in a big way during the next meeting. Moreover, the weakening labor market amid low inflation are great conditions for the Fed to lower its interest rates to boost the economy.

What’s Next for Crypto?

The crypto market is expected to record bullish sentiment if the Fed initiates rate cut next week. The demand for risky assets is expected to surge in tandem with the growing global money supply during the fourth quarter.

Furthermore, Gold price recently broke out of its consolidation and has since rallied to a new all-time high of above $3,670 per ounce. Bitcoin price is well positioned to rally towards a new ATH if it consistently closes above the resistance level around $120k.