TRUMP Coin’s First Major Token Unlock Hits in July – ARB, SUI, and Others Brace for Impact

Mark your calendars—July just got hotter for crypto traders. TRUMP Coin is gearing up for its first major token unlock, with ARB and SUI trailing close behind. Expect volatility, opportunity, and the usual dose of market theatrics.

Token Unlocks: The Crypto Market's Double-Edged Sword

When locked tokens flood the market, prices either moon or crater—no in-between. TRUMP Coin's unlock could spark a rally if demand outpaces supply... or trigger a sell-off if early investors cash out. ARB and SUI face the same high-stakes gamble.

Timing Is Everything (And Everyone's Guessing)

These unlocks hit during peak trading season—coincidence or calculated move? Either way, traders are already positioning. Some see a buying opportunity; others are hedging like it's 2021 all over again.

Closing Thought: In crypto, 'unlock' is just a polite term for 'stress test'—for both the project and your portfolio. Bonus jab: At least this economic stimulus doesn't require congressional approval.

With several high-profile unlocks already underway, July 2025 continues to shape up as one of the most impactful months, with over $1.8 billion in cumulative value scheduled, including the now-completed $323M unlock from sui earlier this month, the largest of July. According to TokenUnlocks data, unlock activity will peak in the third week of July at nearly $1 billion.

This influx of supply comes at a time of cautious market sentiment and reactive liquidity flows, turning each event into a potential catalyst. From Solana-based meme coins like TRUMP to Layer-2 leaders like Arbitrum (ARB) and modular chains like SUI, the unlock wave offers both risk and short-term trading opportunities.

Official Trump (TRUMP) Token Unlock

: July 18, 2025
: ~90M TRUMP
: ~$455M–$462M
: ~9%
: Creators & CIC Digital 1–4 allocations

President Donald Trump has reportedly added over $620 million to his net worth through cryptocurrency ventures, with theplaying a central role. The token, a Solana-based meme coin that once surged on viral hype and political fandom, is now at the centre of a substantial unlock event that could impact price volatility and market sentiment. This unlock marks the first major release of team and contributor tokens, following a 6–12 month cliff. With only 20% of TRUMP’s 1 billion supply currently circulating, the upcoming 9% unlock significantly changes its tokenomics, introducing new liquidity and potential sell pressure.

TRUMPUSDT Price Analysis: Bearish Structure Ahead of Major Unlock

Image Source: Trading View

TRUMP is trading around, consolidating in a tight range ahead of its $455M token unlock on. Price action remains subdued, with the formation of lower highs since its $11.30 peak in early June.

The Alligator indicators that represent different timeframes and help traders identify when a market is trending, consolidating, or preparing to reverse are fully fanned out in a bearish formation, with the green line (Lips) trailing below the red (Teeth) and blue (Jaw), confirming a persistent downtrend.

The RSI at 38.5, while rising slightly above its signal line at 36.8, suggests weak bullish momentum but still hovers in bearish territory, implying hesitation from buyers.

A breakdown belowcould accelerate losses to, withas the next major demand zone.

Conversely, a close aboveis needed to invalidate this structure and target. Until then, the unlock event and broader meme coin fatigue weigh heavily on sentiment.

Arbitrum (ARB) Token Unlock – Strong L2, Soft Price Structure?

July 16, 2025
~92.65M ARB
~$30.3M
~1.17%
Team & Advisor allocation

Arbitrum remains the dominant force among ethereum Layer-2s, currently holding over $2.4 billion in TVL—representing approximately 55–60% of all L2 value locked, as per DeFiLlama.

June saw explosive growth across Arbitrum DeFi protocols like Uniswap, Fluid, and SushiSwap, collectively drawing 2.4M+ users and sustaining high DEX liquidity.

Yet, despite strong fundamentals, the upcoming unlock for team and advisors introduces a fresh token supply that could dampen short-term price action.

ARBUSD Price Analysis: Stalled Recovery with Bearish Tilt

Arbitrum (ARB) trades at $0.33, consolidating below the $0.34 resistance after multiple failed attempts to push higher. Price structure remains fragile, with no clear higher highs since the late June bounce. The Williams %R sits at –67, indicating bearish momentum creeping back in as buyers struggle to sustain pressure.

Support rests NEAR $0.310, with a breakdown risking a slide toward $0.285. If bears gain traction post-unlock, deeper moves toward $0.250 could follow.

On the upside, ARB must close above $0.342 to signal a trend reversal. A breakout there could pave the way to $0.375 and possibly $0.41 if momentum revives alongside strong L2 narrative traction.

Other Upcoming Token Unlocks to Watch – July 2025

1. ZRO (LayerZero) – July 20

LayerZero, the newly launched, is set to unlock—its first major post-airdrop release, expanding circulating supply by overwithin weeks of listing.

2. AVAIL – July 23

AVAIL, thefounded by a Polygon co-creator, will unlock—a staggeringof its total supply, potentially triggering volatility in the under-the-radar L1 space.

3. XDAO – July 21

XDAO, a rising, will release, a disproportionately large unlock that could create sharp price swings given its low market cap and liquidity.

4. MOCA – July 11

MOCA, a Web3 culture and, is scheduled to unlock 241.72M tokens this week, aimed at community and contributor rewards, injecting liquidity into a niche but growing ecosystem.

5. PLUME – July 21

Plume Network, focused on, is unlockingjust ahead of its mainnet launch phase, highlighting investor interest in the RWA narrative