XRP Stuck in Neutral: Can It Break $2.5 Before Q2 2025 Ends?

XRP traders are grinding their teeth as the token struggles to escape its consolidation cage. Despite bullish whispers across crypto Twitter, the digital asset remains stubbornly range-bound below the $2.50 mark—a psychological barrier that’s starting to feel like a concrete ceiling.

Market analysts point to regulatory headwinds and institutional hesitation as key suppressors. ’The SEC’s favorite punching bag still can’t catch a break,’ quips one hedge fund manager, sipping his third espresso of the morning. Meanwhile, derivatives data shows open interest flatlining like a Wall Street intern during earnings season.

Technical indicators paint a mixed picture: the 200-day moving average provides support at $1.80, but every rally attempt gets smacked down faster than a decentralized exchange facing its first liquidity crisis. With six weeks remaining in Q2, XRP bulls need a catalyst—or they’ll be stuck explaining sideways action to impatient bagholders yet again.

Yet again, the xrp price faced a rejection from a crucial resistance zone, which could trigger a steep bearish pullback. The technicals are not completely in favor of the bulls, which hints towards a potential downturn, but the market sentiments remain somewhat bullish, keeping the hopes of an upswing alive. However, the XRP price is required to sustain above a certain support zone, as a failure could invalidate the bullish thesis. 

In the past few days, XRP witnessed huge transfers of over $350 million, with the key movers being identified as Ripple and Crypto.com. They have reportedly moved nearly 50M and 94.3M XRP, while the receiving wallets remain anonymous. However, the previous patterns suggest these funds may be destined for OTC deals or liquidity provisioning. On the other hand, Ripple offloads XRP to cover operations and stabilize markets. 

Along with this, Ripple also burned 4M RLUSD following a minting pause, which hints at ongoing adjustments in Ripple’s stablecoin strategy as it tests market dynamics. With no new RLUSD minted in the past couple of weeks, all eyes are on the XRP’s next move as it prepares for a potential price action amid rising whale activity. 

The XRP price seems to have remained stuck within a crucial phase, as a small bearish divergence could validate a strong bearish move. The 50/200-day MA has converged,  displaying the possibility of a potential bearish crossover. Besides, the Gaussian channel has just turned bullish, hinting towards a rise in the bullish dominance that may push the price back to the resistance zone. Meanwhile, the RSI has plunged and is approaching the average range along with CMF, which suggests a drop in the buying volume and volatility. 

Therefore, the XRP price is believed to maintain a horizontal consolidation between $2.5 and $2.6 for a while, and with an increase in the bullish pressure, a breakout to $2.83 seems to be imminent. With this, the path to $3 could become pretty clear, which may push the levels towards a new ATH.