BitMEX’s Arthur Hayes Drops Cold Truth: U.S. Treasury Won’t Touch Bitcoin Reserves
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes just torpedoed the crypto community’s favorite fantasy—the U.S. government hoarding Bitcoin as a reserve asset. Spoiler: it’s not happening.
Why? Because old-money bureaucrats would rather print another trillion dollars than admit a decentralized asset outplays their monetary policy. The Fed’s balance sheet is their sacred cow—and they’ll defend it with Excel spreadsheets and outdated economic models until the bitter end.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin keeps quietly eating their lunch. Some things never change.
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes
Arthur Hayes
Arthur Hayes is an investor and entrepreneur from the United States. He is the previous CEO of BitMEX, one of the top cryptocurrency derivatives exchanges globally. In 2014, he co-established BitMEX, facilitating cryptocurrency trading through Leveraged Bitcoin futures.
He is often seen sharing his insights and views on the Bitcoin market. He also backs crypto-related projects and helps them gain momentum with his advice on the market.
Quick Facts
Full name
Arthur Hayes
Birth
1985, Detroit, Michigan
Nationality
American
Education
Economics & Finance from the Wharton School of Business
Marital status
Married
Net worth
Estimated $500-700 million
Hayes previously worked at Deutsche Bank and Citigroup. While working at these fintech firms, Arthur concentrated on establishing crypto derivatives as a common standard. In 2021, he encountered legal problems concerning BitMEX’s compliance. Nevertheless, he settled the matter through legal means.
Arthur Hayes - Timeline and Events
2016 – Launched the XBTUSD perpetual swap, revolutionizing crypto trading.
2018 – BitMEX became one of the largest Bitcoin trading platforms.
2020 – Faced legal scrutiny but remained a key industry figure.
2021 – Settled U.S. legal issues and stepped down as BitMEX CEO.
2022 – Focused on crypto investments and writing industry insights.
2023 – Advocated for Bitcoin adoption and decentralized finance (DeFi).
2024 – Continued shaping the digital asset space through investment and research.
Arthur has collaborated with various blockchain experts and engaged with innovative startups for the growth of crypto and Web3 innovations. He continues to be an influential voice in the crypto space and shares his perspectives on Bitcoin, DeFi, and blockchain regulations.
Useful Links to Connect With Arthur Hayes
Platform
Link
X (formerly Twitter)
https://twitter.com/CryptoHayes
LinkedIn
https://www.linkedin.com/in/arthur-hayes
BitMEX Website
https://www.bitmex.com
Personal Blog
https://cryptohayes.substack.com
EntrepreneurInvestorChief Executive OfficerTrader
has poured cold water on hopes of a United States Bitcoin reserve, casting doubt on Donald Trump’s crypto promises and warning of a possible sell-off tied to “Trump trades.” Hayes, known for bold takes, believes the US government may not buy Bitcoin for a strategic reserve, not because it lacks value, but because of politics and perception.
Arthur Hayes says the U.S. is unlikely to stack more #Bitcoin
Why?
Soaring debt
"Bitcoin bro" stigma
According to the BitMEX co-founder, cultural perception may be a big barrier to economics.#Crypto #BTC #ArthurHayes pic.twitter.com/1qGkGcvDom
Printing Money Won’t Save Bitcoin
Hayes explained the U.S. can’t justify printing money to buy Bitcoin while grappling with massive debt. He said the idea of elected officials approving such a move seems far-fetched, especially given the public image of “Bitcoin bros partying at clubs.” Even though the U.S. already holds around 200,000 BTC seized from criminal cases, Hayes doesn’t believe that holding will grow intentionally.
Trump, who recently signed an executive order to create a strategic digital asset reserve, might struggle to deliver on his crypto promises, Hayes noted. With only 12 months before midterms, he doubts there’s time to enact real change. “People are impatient because they’re desperate,” Hayes warned, adding that disappointment could trigger a brutal correction across Bitcoin and other so-called “Trump trades.”
Despite this, Hayes remains bullish on Bitcoin long-term. He expects the U.S. dollar will be devalued under Trump’s economic plan, possibly using gold as a reference. This could make Bitcoin more attractive globally.
Hayes also believes a major crypto boost could come from China if Hong Kong ETFs open up to mainland investors, and even suggests EU governments may secretly buy crypto as inflation bites.
While he predicts Bitcoin could hit $1 million by 2028, Hayes stressed the path will be tough to attain. In the meantime, his playbook for a Bitcoin-led altcoin cycle remains the same, despite other analysts doubting it’ll repeat like 2021.
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