Asia Morning Briefing: Fragility or Back on Track? BTC Holds Firm at $115K

Bitcoin Defies Gravity at $115K Threshold

Asian markets wake to crypto's relentless surge as Bitcoin anchors at the $115,000 psychological barrier. The digital gold standard refuses to buckle under pressure—proving once again that traditional finance moves at dial-up speed in a fiber-optic world.

Market Momentum or Mirage?

Traders scrutinize every tick while institutional money floods the ecosystem. The $115K hold signals either robust foundational strength or the calm before the storm—nobody rings a bell at market tops, but everyone hears the crash.

Regulatory Whispers and Wall Street's Hunger

Asian regulators scramble to keep pace as adoption accelerates. Meanwhile, legacy finance institutions finally acknowledge what retail investors knew years ago—though they'll still take their 2% management fee for the privilege of being late.

BTC's Resilience Defies Conventional Wisdom

The king cryptocurrency laughs at volatility metrics and traditional valuation models. While economists search for rational explanations, the market does what it always does—whatever it wants.

Good Morning, Asia. Here's what's making news in the markets:

Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a daily summary of top stories during U.S. hours and an overview of market moves and analysis. For a detailed overview of U.S. markets, see CoinDesk's crypto Daybook Americas.

Bitcoin (BTC) traded just above $115k in Asia Tuesday morning, slipping slightly after a strong start to the week.

The modest pullback followed a run of inflows into U.S. spot ETFs and lingering Optimism that the Federal Reserve will cut rates next week. The moves left traders divided: is this recovery built on fragile foundations, or is crypto firmly back on track after last week’s CPI-driven jitters?

That debate is playing out across research desks. Glassnode’s weekly pulse emphasizes fragility. While ETF inflows surged nearly 200% last week and futures open interest jumped, the underlying spot market looks weak.

Buying conviction remains shallow, Glassnode writes, funding rates have softened, and profit-taking is on the rise with more than 92% of supply in profit.

Options traders have also scaled back downside hedges, pushing volatility spreads lower, which Glassnode warns leaves the market exposed if risk returns. The Core message: ETFs and futures are supporting the rally, but without stronger spot flows, BTC remains vulnerable.

QCP takes the other side.

The Singapore-based desk says crypto is “back on track” after CPI confirmed tariff-led inflation without major surprises. They highlight five consecutive days of sizeable BTC ETF inflows, ETH’s biggest inflow in two weeks, and strength in XRP and SOL even after ETF delays.

Traders, they argue, are interpreting regulatory postponements as inevitability rather than rejection. With the Altcoin Season Index at a 90-day high, QCP sees BTC consolidation above $115k as the launchpad for rotation into higher-beta assets.

The divide underscores how Bitcoin’s current range NEAR $115k–$116k is a battleground. Glassnode calls it fragile optimism; QCP calls it momentum. Which side is right may depend on whether ETF inflows keep offsetting profit-taking in the weeks ahead.

Market Movement

Bitcoin is consolidating near the $115,000 level as traders square positions ahead of expected U.S. Fed policy moves; institutional demand via spot Bitcoin ETFs is supporting upside

ETH is trading near $4500 in a key resistance band; gains are being helped by renewed institutional demand, tightening supply (exchange outflows), and positive technical setups.

Gold continues to hold near record highs, underpinned by expectations of Fed interest rate cuts, inflation risk, and investor demand for SAFE havens; gains tempered somewhat by profit‑taking and a firmer U.S. dollar

Japan’s Nikkei 225 topped 45,000 for the first time Monday, leading Asia-Pacific gains as upbeat U.S.-China trade talks and a TikTok divestment framework lifted sentiment.

The S&P 500 ROSE 0.5% to close above 6,600 for the first time on Monday as upbeat U.S.-China trade talks and anticipation of a Fed meeting lifted stocks.

Elsewhere in Crypto

• Coinbase App Store ranking suggests retail still on sidelines despite crypto rally (The Block)
• Robinhood Expands Private Equity Token Push With New Venture Capital Fund (CoinDesk)
• Strategy Adds $60 Million to Bitcoin Treasury in Smallest Buy in a Month (Decrypt)