Bitcoin and Ether Rally as Court Strikes Down Trump-Era Tariffs—Traders Cheer Regulatory Tailwinds
Cryptocurrencies surge on regulatory relief—because nothing pumps digital assets like a judge clipping legacy finance’s wings.
Bitcoin and Ether jumped after a US court nixed controversial tariffs from the Trump administration, sparking fresh risk appetite. The ruling’s knock-on effects? A textbook ’risk-on’ move where crypto outperforms traditional markets—again.
Wall Street analysts scramble to downgrade tariff-exposed stocks while crypto VCs quietly high-five. Another day, another reminder that decentralized assets thrive when centralized systems stumble.
Bonus jab: Traders now pricing in a 110% chance the SEC will ’reconsider’ its crypto stance—right after their next donor dinner.
What to Watch
- Crypto
- May 30: The second round of FTX repayments starts.
- May 31 (TBC): Mezo mainnet launch.
- June 6, 1-5 p.m.: U.S. SEC Crypto Task Force Roundtable on "DeFi and the American Spirit"
- Macro
- May 29, 8 a.m.: The Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) releases April unemployment rate data.
- Unemployment Rate Est. 6.9% vs. Prev. 7%
- May 29, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) releases Q1 GDP data.
- GDP Growth Rate QoQ (2nd estimate) Est. -0.3% vs. Prev. 2.4%
- GDP Price Index QoQ (2nd estimate) Est. 3.7% vs. Prev. 2.3%
- GDP Sales QoQ (2nd estimate) Est. -2.5% vs. Prev. 3.3%
- May 29, 2 p.m.: Fed Governor Adriana D. Kugler will deliver a speech at the 5th Annual Federal Reserve Board Macro-Finance Workshop (virtual). Livestream link.
- May 30, 8 a.m.: The Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) releases Q1 GDP data.
- GDP Growth Rate QoQ Est. 1.4% vs. Prev. 0.2%
- GDP Growth Rate YoY Est. 3.2% vs. Prev. 3.6%
- May 30, 8 a.m.: Mexico’s National Institute of Statistics and Geography releases April unemployment rate data.
- Unemployment Rate Est. 2.5% vs. Prev. 2.2%
- May 30, 8:30 a.m.: Statistics Canada releases Q1 GDP data.
- GDP Growth Rate Annualized Est. 1.7% vs. Prev. 2.6%
- GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prev. 0.6%
- May 30, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) releases April consumer income and expenditure data.
- Core PCE Price Index MoM Est. 0.1% vs. Prev. 0%
- Core PCE Price Index YoY Est. 2.5% vs. Prev. 2.6%
- PCE Price Index MoM Est. 0.1% vs. Prev. 0%
- PCE Price Index YoY Est. 2.2% vs. Prev. 2.3%
- Personal Income MoM Est. 0.3% vs. Prev. 0.5%
- Personal Spending MoM Est. 0.2% vs. Prev. 0.7%
- May 30, 10 a.m.: The University of Michigan releases (final) May U.S. consumer sentiment data.
- Michigan Consumer Sentiment Est. 51 vs. Prev. 52.2
- May 29, 8 a.m.: The Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) releases April unemployment rate data.
- Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
- None in the near future.
Token Events
- Governance votes & calls
- Arbitrum DAO is voting on a constitutional AIP to upgrade Arbitrum One and Arbitrum Nova to ArbOS 40 “Callisto,” bringing them in line with Ethereum’s May 7 Pectra upgrade. The proposal schedules activation for June 17, and voting ends on May 29.
- Sui DAO is voting on moving to recover approximately $220 million in funds stolen from the Cetus Protocol hack via a protocol upgrade. Voting ends June 3.
- May 29, 8 a.m.: NEAR Protocol to host a House of Stake Ask Me Anything (AMA) session.
- May 29, 2 p.m.: Wormhole to host an ecosystem call.
- June 4, 6:30 p.m.: Synthetic to host a community call.
- June 10, 10 a.m.: Ether.fi to host an analyst call followed by a Q&A session.
- Unlocks
- May 31: Optimism (OP) to unlock 1.89% of its circulating supply worth $24.43 million.
- June 1: Sui (SUI) to unlock 1.32% of its circulating supply worth $160.58 million.
- June 1: ZetaChain (ZETA) to unlock 5.34% of its circulating supply worth $11.18 million.
- June 12: Ethena (ENA) to unlock 0.7% of its circulating supply worth $15.83 million.
- June 12: Aptos (APT) to unlock 1.79% of its circulating supply worth $60.96 million.
- Token Launches
- June 1: Staking rewards for staking ERC-20 OM on MANTRA Finance end.
- June 16: Advised deadline to unstake stMATIC as part of Lido on Polygon’s sunsetting process ends.
- June 26: Coinbase to delist Helium Mobile (MOBILE), Render (RNDR), Ribbon Finance (RBN), & Synapse (SYN)
Conferences
- Day 3 of 3: Bitcoin 2025 (Las Vegas)
- Day 3 of 4: Web Summit Vancouver (Vancouver, British Columbia)
- May 29: Stablecon (New York)
- Day 1 of 2: Litecoin Summit 2025 (Las Vegas)
- Day 1 of 4: Balkans Crypto 2025 (Tirana, Albania)
- June 2-7: SXSW London
- June 19-21: BTC Prague 2025
- June 25-26: Bitcoin Policy Institute’s Bitcoin Policy Summit 2025 (Washington)
- June 26-27: Istanbul Blockchain Week
Token Talk
By Oliver Knight
- Markets on the Ethereum-based Cork Protocol remain paused after Wednesday’s $12 million smart-contract exploit.
- The attacker manipulated the smart contact’s exchange-rate function by issuing fake tokens, stealing 3,761.8 wrapped staked ether (wstETH) in the process.
- The exploit marked another attack on the decentralized finance (DeFi) industry just days after Sui-based Cetus Protocol lost $223 million to an exploit.
- TRM Labs estimates that $2.2 billion was stolen in crypto exploits and hacks in 2024.
- Ether remains unperturbed by the exploit, leading the market today on the back of renewed institutional interest and spot ETF flows. It is up 3.8% in the past 24 hours while bitcoin is down by 0.17%.
Derivatives Positioning
- TRX, XMR, ETH, LTC and BNB led major cryptocurrencies’ growth in perpetual futures open interest.
- Funding rates for majors, except TON, signal bullish sentiment, but nothing extraordinary.
- On the CME, ETH annualized one-month futures basis topped 10%, while BTC lagged at 8.7%.
- Signs of caution emerged on Deribit, with front-end BTC skew flipping to puts and ETH’s call skew softening. Block flows on Paradigm featured demand for short-dated BTC puts.
Market Movements
- BTC is up 1.15% from 4 p.m. ET Wednesday at $108,594.41 (24hrs: -0.29%)
- ETH is up 3.9% at $2,738.04 (24hrs: +3.63%)
- CoinDesk 20 is up 2.21% at 3,278.84 (24hrs: +0.66%)
- Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is unchanged at 3.1%
- BTC funding rate is at 0.0057% (6.3006% annualized) on Binance
- DXY is up 0.12% at 99.99
- Gold is up 0.32% at $3,304.20/oz
- Silver is up 1.24% at $33.41/oz
- Nikkei 225 closed +1.88% at 38,432.98
- Hang Seng closed +1.35% at 23,573.38
- FTSE is unchanged at 8,724.05
- Euro Stoxx 50 is unchanged at 5,378.39
- DJIA closed on Wednesday -0.58% at 42,098.70
- S&P 500 closed -0.56% at 5,888.55
- Nasdaq closed -0.51% at 19,100.94
- S&P/TSX Composite Index closed unchanged at 26,283.50
- S&P 40 Latin America closed -0.76 at 2,599.53
- U.S. 10-year Treasury rate is up 6 bps at 4.54%
- E-mini S&P 500 futures are up 1.53% at 5,993.25
- E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are up 2.03% at 21,814.25
- E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are up 0.96% at 42,576.00
Bitcoin Stats
- BTC Dominance: 63.71 (-0.06%)
- Ethereum to bitcoin ratio: 0.02517 (1.12%)
- Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 910 EH/s
- Hashprice (spot): $57.0
- Total Fees: 8.03 BTC / $868,310
- CME Futures Open Interest: 152,995 BTC
- BTC priced in gold: 32.8 oz
- BTC vs gold market cap: 9.30%
Technical Analysis
- The VIRTUAL token has topped the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the January-April crash.
- The break out above the widely tracked resistance could entice more buyers, yielding a bigger rally.
Crypto Equities
- Strategy (MSTR): closed on Wednesday at $364.25 (-2.14%), +2.43% at $373.09 in pre-market
- Coinbase Global (COIN): closed at $254.29 (-4.55%), +3.01% at $261.95
- Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY): closed at C$28 (-6.57%)
- MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $14.86 (-9.61%), +4.04% at $15.46
- Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $8.38 (-8.32%), +2.86% at $8.62
- Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $10.78 (-4.43%), +2.97% at $11.10
- CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $9.11 (-7.61%), +3.62% at $9.44
- CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $17.27 (-5.32%)
- Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $41.32 (-4.77%), +2.95% at $42.54
- Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $25.94 (-25.35%), +11.6% at $28.95
ETF Flows
- Daily net flow: $432.7 million
- Cumulative net flows: $45.31 billion
- Total BTC holdings ~ 1.21 million
- Daily net flow: $84.9 million
- Cumulative net flows: $2.9 billion
- Total ETH holdings ~ 3.57 million
Source: Farside Investors
Overnight Flows
Chart of the Day
- The MOVE index, which measures the volatility in U.S. Treasury notes, has dropped to the lowest level since March.
- If it drops further, a continued decline is likely to ease financial conditions, greasing the bitcoin bull run.
While You Were Sleeping
- U.S. Trade Court Strikes Down Trump’s Global Tariffs (The Wall Street Journal): Judges said economic deficits don’t meet the legal threshold for a national emergency, and said unchecked executive authority over levies violates the constitutional separation of powers.
- Solana Scores Twin Institutional Wins With $1B Raise and First Public Liquid Staking Strategy (CoinDesk): Sol Strategies aims to raise $1 billion to expand Solana ecosystem exposure, while DeFi Development said it is the first public firm to hold Solana-based liquid staking tokens.
- Bitcoin Whales Seem to Be Calling a Top as BTC Price Consolidates (CoinDesk): Large holders are offloading BTC and sending it to exchanges after a period of accumulation, while smaller investors continue buying.
- XRP Army Is Truly Global as CME Data Reveals Nearly Half of XRP Futures Trading Occurs in Non-U.S. Hours (CoinDesk): These contracts recorded $86.6 million in volume over six days across 4,032 trades, with 46% of activity logged during overseas sessions.
- Goldman Urges Investors to Buy Gold and Oil as Long-Term Hedges (Bloomberg): Goldman Sachs said surging U.S. debt and concerns over monetary and fiscal governance have eroded trust in long-term Treasuries, making gold and oil essential hedges against inflation and supply shocks.
- UK Seeks to Speed Up Implementation of U.S. Trade Deal (Financial Times): The U.K. business secretary will meet the U.S. Trade Representative in Paris next week to discuss implementation timelines for the bilateral trade deal announced on May 8.