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What’s Next for XRP After Failed $3 Breakout?

What’s Next for XRP After Failed $3 Breakout?

Author:
Coindesk
Published:
2025-09-10 04:49:13
19
2

What Next as XRP Slumps After Failed Breakout Above $3

XRP's rally hits a wall—failed to crack the $3 ceiling. Now what?

Technical Turmoil

The digital asset got rejected hard at resistance. Bulls pushed, bears pushed back harder. Classic crypto volatility playing out in real-time.

Market Psychology Shift

Traders who bought the breakout now face losses. Panic selling could trigger further downside. Support levels become critical—break those and it's a race to the bottom.

Regulatory Overhang Lingers

Never forget that regulators treat crypto like a piñata—everyone takes a swing. XRP's legal battles might be 'settled' but the uncertainty still weighs heavier than a banker's bonus.

Next moves? Watch volume patterns and key support holds. This isn't financial advice—just common sense in a market that has neither.

News Background

• Federal Reserve’s September 17 meeting is expected to deliver a 25-basis-point rate cut, with markets assigning near-certainty to the outcome — a potential liquidity driver for risk assets.
• Six XRP spot ETF applications await SEC review in October, a decision traders see as pivotal for institutional adoption.
• Exchange custody balances for XRP hit a 12-month peak, raising concerns about near-term selling pressure despite whale accumulation patterns in recent weeks.
• Analysts note parallels to XRP’s July breakout failure, suggesting market structure is again being tested at the $3.00 barrier.

Price Action Summary

• XRP traded in a $0.10 band (2.9%) from $2.935 to $3.035 between September 9 at 03:00 and September 10 at 02:00.
• Token advanced to $3.035 during morning trading but faced immediate rejection near $3.02 resistance.
• A 14:00 selloff dropped XRP from $3.018 to $2.956 on 165.67M volume — nearly triple the daily average.
• Price consolidated into the close between $2.94 and $2.96, with subdued activity averaging 650k volume per minute.

Technical Analysis

• Resistance: $3.02–$3.04 level capped upside, with multiple rejections on high volume.
• Support: $2.94 zone tested and held, suggesting accumulation by institutional players.
• Momentum: RSI shows early bullish divergence, but exchange reserves at highs weigh on follow-through.
• Structure: Failed breakout implies consolidation within $2.94–$3.00 unless volume returns.
• Range: 3% intraday swings highlight institutional-driven volatility.

What Traders Are Watching

• Whether XRP can sustain closes above $2.95 to build momentum for a $3.02 breakout.
• Exchange custody balances at 12-month highs — will inflows convert to sustained selling pressure?
• SEC’s October ETF rulings, which could act as a structural catalyst if approvals land.
• Fed’s September 17 rate cut decision, with traders positioning for its impact on dollar liquidity.
• Whale inflows — 340M tokens accumulated in recent weeks — and whether buying offsets exchange distribution.

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