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U.S. Recession Fears Collapse to 22% on Polymarket as Trade War Thaws—Time to Buy Bitcoin?

U.S. Recession Fears Collapse to 22% on Polymarket as Trade War Thaws—Time to Buy Bitcoin?

Author:
Coindesk
Published:
2025-07-05 15:08:56
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U.S. Recession Odds on Polymarket Plunge to 22% as Trade Tensions Cool

Polymarket traders just slashed U.S. recession odds to 22%—the lowest since the Fed started playing whack-a-mole with inflation. Are prediction markets finally smarter than Wall Street's crystal balls?

The crypto angle: When traditional risk metrics improve, altcoins tend to rally harder than Bitcoin. But let's be real—the 'smart money' is still betting against the Fed's soft landing fantasy.

One cynic's take: Nothing boosts crypto like fading recession risks... until the next 'black swan' sends traders scrambling back to stablecoins. The cycle continues.

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