Dollar Index Plunges Most Since 1991—Bitcoin’s ’Stochastic’ Flashes Warning of Sub-$100K Drop

Greenback's historic collapse sends shockwaves through markets—just as Bitcoin's technicals hint at a brutal correction.

Stochastic scream: BTC's momentum indicator hits levels not seen since the 2022 bear market. Are crypto traders about to get rekt?

Meanwhile, traditional finance bros cling to their Bloomberg terminals—because clearly fiat's working out great for them.

The trendline breakdown, coupled with the negative MACD, suggests a strengthening of bearish momentum and points to further losses ahead.

"Looks like USD could drop another 10% easily....and maybe a lot more in the next 12-24 months," Dan Tapiero, founder and CEO of DTAP Capital, said on X, calling it a bullish tailwind for bitcoin.

BTC faces sell-off risks

Bitcoin's short-term technicals, particularly the ongoing price action relative to the stochastic indicator, paint a bleak picture. BTC fell 1% on Monday, turning lower from the upper end of the bull flag countertrend consolidation carved out over the past six weeks.

In such conditions, traders typically use oscillators, such as the stochastic, to confirm whether the rejection at the upper boundary of the ongoing consolidation has set the stage for a renewed slide to the lower end.

In BTC's case, the 14-day stochastic confirms the same, repeating the pattern seen in the first half of June. The oscillator is on the verge of crossing below 80, marking a downturn from the overbought region to suggest renewed sell-off within the broad price range.

In other words, BTC could revisit sub-$100,000 in the short term. A firm MOVE above the upper end of the consolidation will invalidate the bearish signal, setting the stage for a rally to $140,000.