Fed Whiplash: How U.S. Economic Reports Are Shaking Crypto Like a Meme Coin
Another CPI print, another 10% swing in Bitcoin’s price—because nothing says ’decentralized’ like hanging on the Fed’s every word.
Wall Street’s inflation obsession has gone crypto-viral. When the latest jobs data dropped, BTC traders front-ran the algos so fast they left CME futures in the dust.
Meanwhile, ETH options traders are pricing in Fed-speak like it’s the next halving event. Because clearly, the ’uncorrelated asset’ playbook got lost with the Mt. Gox keys.
Pro tip: If your ’hedge against the system’ trades in lockstep with the S&P 500, maybe cancel that ’End the Fed’ tattoo appointment.
Cryptocurrencies and U.S. Economic Indicators
The impact of macroeconomic developments is transcending traditional technical analysis in the realm of cryptocurrencies. Particularly, postponed interest rate cuts continue to defer the substantial rise anticipated by altcoin investors for some time. For the Federal Reserve (Fed) to take action, concerning signals of a decline in employment must surface.
Before key data like Friday’s non-farm payroll figures, today’s JOLTS job openings data was made public. The released figure stood at 7.391 million, exceeding the expected 7.1 million and surpassing the previous month’s 7.192 million.
Employment continues to appear robust, witnessing a rise rather than a fall compared to the prior month. This strengthens support for the Fed to delay interest rate cuts, which, in turn, offers unfavorable data for cryptocurrencies. However, the positive news comes in the form of factory orders, which were announced at -3.7%, against an expectation of -3.2%. While employment appears strong for now, the decrease in orders suggests a potential delayed decline in workforce demand, indicating that although JOLTS might lead to short-term dips in the crypto market, it might not trigger substantial losses.
The significance of Friday’s forthcoming Non-Farm Payroll and other data has grown, becoming even more essential to verify the employment situation. This data will play a key role in defining the short-term movements in the cryptocurrency market, determining whether the Fed’s stance will shift. Investors in the crypto world are keenly observing how these economic indicators will shape the impending trend.
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