XRP News 2025: The Floor Is Here, But Where’s the Bounce?
- Why Hasn’t XRP Bounced Yet Despite Capitulation Signals?
- Spent Coins: The Make-or-Break Indicator for XRP
- XRP Price Forecast: Final Drop Zone Ahead?
- FAQs: Your XRP Dilemmas Solved
XRP’s price action in November 2025 has traders scratching their heads. While classic capitulation signals like NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) suggest a local bottom, the missing ingredient—spent coins data—hints at further downside. Historical parallels from April and June 2025 show rebounds after similar setups, but this time, XRP keeps sliding. Key levels to watch: $1.95 (support) and $1.57 (potential final low). Meanwhile, the 100-day EMA threatens a "death cross" with the 200-day line—a bearish omen. Here’s why patience might pay off for XRP bulls.
Why Hasn’t XRP Bounced Yet Despite Capitulation Signals?
Short-term holders are bleeding. The NUPL metric—which tracks unrealized gains/losses—plunged to -0.30 this month, its lowest in 2025. Historically, such extremes triggered rebounds (think April’s -0.13 NUPL → 18% rally or June’s -0.15 → 23% surge). But now? Crickets.
The BTCC analytics team notes: "Capitulation without a bounce usually means bigger players are still exiting. We saw this in Bitcoin’s 2022 cycle—retail throws in the towel first, then institutions finish the job."
Spent Coins: The Make-or-Break Indicator for XRP
Here’s the smoking gun. Between Nov 2-5, 2025, XRP dropped 15% while spent coins spiked(20.32M → 104.85M). That’s textbook capitulation. Fast forward to Nov 17-22: price fell 14%, but spent coins ROSE just(45.87M → 97.31M).
"Until we see spent coins hit November’s highs, this sell-off isn’t done," says a TradingView chartist. "It’s like watching a slow-motion car crash—you know it’s coming, but can’t look away."
XRP Price Forecast: Final Drop Zone Ahead?
The $1.95 support is hanging by a thread. A daily close below could trigger a slide toward $1.57—where 2018’s bear market finally bottomed. Meanwhile, the 100-day EMA ($2.08) is inches below the 200-day ($2.12). If it crosses? "That ‘death cross’ WOULD bring algorithmic sellers out of the woodwork," warns CoinMarketCap data.
Bull case: A reclaim of $2.26 invalidates the downtrend. But until then, remember what Warren Buffett (sort of) said: "Be fearful when others are greedy—and when NUPL hits -0.30, maybe grab some popcorn."
FAQs: Your XRP Dilemmas Solved
What’s NUPL, and why does it matter for XRP?
NUPL measures unrealized profit/loss across the network. Negative values show panic selling—a contrarian buy signal when extreme.
How reliable are spent coins as an indicator?
Very. Unlike short-term metrics, spent coins track all holders. When old hands dump during dips (like November’s 416% spike), it’s a red flag.
Could XRP drop below $1?
Possible but unlikely. The $1.57 zone aligns with 2018’s bottom and 2023’s accumulation range—a "generational buy" area per BTCC’s weekly report.
