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Standard Chartered: Crypto Crash Paves the Way for Bitcoin to Hit $200K by End of 2025

Standard Chartered: Crypto Crash Paves the Way for Bitcoin to Hit $200K by End of 2025

Published:
2025-10-23 05:43:02
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The recent crypto market crash, which saw nearly $19 billion in positions liquidated, has sparked debates about whether this marks a peak or a buying opportunity. Standard Chartered remains bullish, predicting Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by year-end, fueled by ETF inflows and Fed rate cuts. Analyst Geoff Kendrick argues the sell-off was a healthy reset, setting the stage for a stronger rally. Meanwhile, the market’s structure is normalizing, with reduced leverage and renewed liquidity. This article dives into the factors driving Bitcoin’s potential surge and why Standard Chartered’s outlook remains optimistic.

Was the October 11 Crypto Crash a Market Top or a Buying Opportunity?

The crypto market experienced one of its most volatile days on October 11, 2025, with $19 billion in positions liquidated within hours. This dramatic sell-off was triggered by excessive leverage and macro tensions, including Donald Trump’s renewed trade war rhetoric. While some feared a market top, Standard Chartered’s Geoff Kendrick sees it as a cleansing event—one that could strengthen Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory. Historically, such "flushouts" have often preceded robust rebounds, and this time may be no different.

Why Standard Chartered Sticks to Its $200K Bitcoin Target

Standard Chartered’s bullish stance hinges on three key drivers:

  1. Spot ETF Demand: Institutional inflows, particularly gold-to-BTC reallocations, are providing structural support.
  2. Supply Squeeze: With dwindling available supply (thanks to retail, corporate, and state buyers), scarcity is intensifying.
  3. Macro Role: Bitcoin is increasingly acting as a macro-financial asset, especially amid global liquidity shifts.
Kendrick even suggests this crash might have set the stage for a "final parabolic extension."

How the Market Is Recovering Post-Crash

As the dust settles, the market is rebuilding with healthier dynamics. Leverage has decreased, and liquidity is returning—this time from more stable, long-term investors. Data fromshows open interest stabilizing, whilecharts highlight a gradual uptick in accumulation. "Massive liquidations often reset the board for a healthier cycle," notes a BTCC analyst. "This isn’t the end; it’s a recalibration."

The Wildcard: Macro Risks and Trump’s Unpredictability

Despite the optimism, risks loom. Trump’s trade policies could trigger fresh volatility, and global liquidity remains a double-edged sword. However, Standard Chartered believes a "wall of buyers" (ETF investors, corporate treasuries, and public entities) will absorb shocks. "Black Friday for crypto doesn’t invalidate the cycle—it might even reinforce it," Kendrick adds.

What’s Next for Bitcoin?

If history repeats, Bitcoin’s path to $200K could involve:

  • A technical rebound post-flushout.
  • A consolidation phase ("accumulation").
  • A parabolic rally fueled by ETF inflows and Fed cuts.

Bitcoin ETF Inflows Chart


Source: 99Bitcoins

FAQs: Bitcoin’s Post-Crash Outlook

Why does Standard Chartered predict $200K for Bitcoin?

Their forecast combines ETF demand, supply scarcity, and Bitcoin’s growing macro role. The recent crash, in their view, was a necessary reset.

Could Trump’s policies derail Bitcoin’s rally?

While macro risks exist, institutional demand may offset short-term shocks.

Is now a good time to buy Bitcoin?

This article does not constitute investment advice. However, post-flushout periods have historically offered entry points.

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