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Algorand Foundation Exposes TVL as a Flawed Metric for Crypto Investments

Algorand Foundation Exposes TVL as a Flawed Metric for Crypto Investments

Published:
2025-07-03 08:56:47
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Total Value Locked (TVL) has long been the darling of DeFi analysts—but Algorand just ripped off its rose-tinted glasses.

Why TVL fails investors

The metric ignores liquidity depth, smart contract risks, and the oldest rule in finance: 'If it looks too good to be true, it probably is.' Projects can artificially inflate TVL through circular farming—yet another case of crypto eating its own tail.

The Algorand alternative

Proof-of-stake chains like Algorand measure real economic activity, not just dollar figures locked in contracts. Think of it as valuing a company by revenue, not just its bank balance.

Closing shot

Next time a protocol brags about TVL, ask where the yield comes from. (Spoiler: Probably from the next bagholder.)

Staci Warden is the Algorand Foundation CEO, and Dr. Matthew Brigida is Chief Economist at Algorand Foundation. In June, the Algorand Foundation’s tokenomics team released a new study questioning the assumption that TVL is a meaningful investment signal. Despite being widely cited as a proxy for legitimacy, the research found that TVL doesn’t correlate with token performance, even when adjusted for known distortions like double-counting.

Why you should listen

The team analyzed 300+ cryptocurrencies from 2023–2024, simulating weekly long/short strategies based on TVL rankings. The result? No outperformance, no alpha. And no meaningful insight once broader market movements are accounted for.

As Pew reported last year, most Americans still don’t trust crypto. If TVL continues to be used as a shorthand for credibility, that only adds noise. This paper adds to the growing push for better metrics in DeFi.

Algorand’s mission is to power a world where information has integrity and innovative ideas can scale. The Algorand Foundation supports Algorand’s rapidly growing ecosystem by providing a best-in-class developer environment, supporting key infrastructure and setting technical standards, offering comprehensive support to builders and entrepreneurs, and providing the framework for decentralized governance. 

Supporting links

Stabull Finance

The TVL Study WHITE Paper

The TVL Study Blog Post

Algorand

Andy on Twitter 

Brave New Coin on Twitter

Brave New Coin

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