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Ethereum Price Surges to $4,450 as US Inflation Holds Steady – What’s Driving the Rally?

Ethereum Price Surges to $4,450 as US Inflation Holds Steady – What’s Driving the Rally?

Published:
2025-08-12 21:33:02
22
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Ethereum (ETH) has skyrocketed past $4,400 amid record-breaking ETF inflows and bullish institutional activity, while stable US inflation data fuels expectations of a September Fed rate cut. BitMine’s $20 billion ETH accumulation plan adds further momentum, creating a perfect storm for ETH’s price surge. Here’s why experts believe this could be just the beginning.

Why Is Ethereum Breaking Multi-Year Highs?

The ETH price reached $4,450 on August 12, 2025 – its highest level since December 2021. This rally comes as spot Ether ETFs shattered records with $1 billion in single-day net inflows, according to SoSoValue data. BlackRock’s ETHA led the charge with $640 million, followed by Fidelity’s FETH at $277 million. "We’re seeing institutional FOMO at levels not seen since Bitcoin’s 2021 bull run," noted BTCC analyst David Chen.

Ethereum 7-day price chart

How Significant Are the ETF Inflows?

Since their August 2024 launch, US Ether ETFs have amassed $10.83 billion in net inflows, representing 4.77% of ETH’s total market cap. The products now hold $25.71 billion in assets under management (AUM). For context, that’s more than many traditional tech ETFs held during their first year. The buying pressure is creating what traders call a "supply shock" – with more ETH being locked in ETFs than new coins being mined.

What’s Behind BitMine’s Aggressive ETH Accumulation?

BitMine Immersion Tech (BMNR) announced plans to raise $20 billion through stock sales specifically for ETH purchases. They’ve already boosted holdings from 833,000 ETH to 1.15 million ETH (worth $5 billion) in just one week. CEO Tom Lee stated: "We believe Ethereum’s transition to proof-of-stake makes it the most compelling asset in Web3." The company’s stock now trades 2.2 billion shares daily, ranking among the top 25 most active US equities.

How Do Inflation Figures Impact Ethereum?

July’s CPI data showed 2.7% annual inflation – slightly below expectations. Core inflation (excluding food/energy) came in at 3.1%. Markets interpreted this as confirmation of imminent Fed easing, with CME’s FedWatch Tool pricing a 92.2% chance of September rate cuts. "Crypto thrives in low-rate environments," explains Chen. "The inflation print was the green light institutional traders were waiting for."

Fed rate cut probability chart

What’s Next for Ethereum’s Price?

Three key factors suggest continued upside:

  1. ETF inflows show no signs of slowing
  2. BitMine’s buying could remove 5% of circulating supply
  3. Potential Fed liquidity injection in September

The last time these conditions aligned (2021), ETH rallied 300% in four months. While past performance doesn’t guarantee results, the technical setup appears strikingly similar.

Frequently Asked Questions

How high can Ethereum go in 2025?

While predictions vary, the current technical target sits NEAR $5,200 if ETH holds above $4,000 support. However, macroeconomic conditions will play a decisive role.

Are Ether ETFs safer than holding ETH directly?

ETFs offer regulatory protection and easier tax reporting, but lack staking rewards. Self-custody (using hardware wallets) remains the only way to fully participate in Ethereum’s ecosystem.

When will the Fed likely cut rates?

Markets expect a 25-basis-point cut on September 18, with potential follow-up cuts in Q4 if inflation continues cooling.

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