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Bitcoin Could Skyrocket to $160K by August: Analyst Points to Key On-Chain Pattern

Bitcoin Could Skyrocket to $160K by August: Analyst Points to Key On-Chain Pattern

Published:
2025-06-30 17:22:02
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Bitcoin (BTC) may be gearing up for a massive surge to $160,000 by August, according to a critical on-chain metric that has accurately predicted the cryptocurrency’s last two major rallies. Despite current volatility around $108K, analysts highlight a growing divergence between long-term and short-term holders (LTH/STH ratio) as a bullish signal. Historical data shows this pattern preceded BTC’s jumps from $28K to $60K and $60K to $100K. Meanwhile, traders spot a bullish flag formation targeting $137K within two months, while the bitcoin Rainbow Chart suggests the asset is in the "buy" zone—mirroring conditions before its 450% surge in late 2020. Geopolitical calm and a $20B options expiry this week add further fuel to the momentum.

Why Is the LTH/STH Ratio a Game-Changer for Bitcoin’s Price?

Analyst Axel Adler Jr. identifies the long-term holder/short-term holder (LTH/STH) ratio as Bitcoin’s secret weapon. When this metric rises steadily, explosive price rallies typically follow. For instance:

  • In 2023, a rising LTH/STH ratio preceded BTC’s climb from $28K to $60K.
  • In 2024, the same pattern drove Bitcoin from $60K to $100K.

Now, with the ratio climbing again at the $100K mark, Adler predicts a 4–8 week accumulation phase before a potential parabolic move. "The multiplier effect suggests $160K is achievable by August," he notes. The BTCC team emphasizes that long-term holders (who own BTC for 155+ days) signal market confidence, while short-term holders often panic-sell during dips.

LTH/STH Ratio Chart

Source: CryptoQuant/Axel Adler Jr.

Technical Indicators: Bullish Flags and Rainbow Charts

Traders are doubling down on bullish signals:

  • Bull Flag Pattern: "Titan of Crypto" identifies a daily chart formation projecting a $137K target within two months.
  • MACD Cross: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator nears a bullish crossover, historically a momentum shift trigger.
  • Rainbow Chart: BTC sits in the "Accumulate" zone—similar to November 2020, which preceded a 450% rally.

Historical parallels are striking: May 2017’s LTH/STH surge led to a 1,400% price explosion. "This isn’t hopium; it’s math," quips a BTCC market strategist.

Market Forces: Geopolitics and $20B Options Expiry

Bitcoin briefly hit $108K this week as Middle East tensions eased (Israel-Iran ceasefire), but it now consolidates at $107,653. Key levels to watch:

Support Resistance Catalyst
$106K $110K $20B options expiry on June 27

"Liquidity clusters at $106K and $110K could trigger volatile swings," says Guilherme Prado of BTCC Brazil. The crypto market’s 1.6% weekly gain lags behind BTC’s 3% rise, highlighting its dominance.

Who Profits If Bitcoin Hits $160K? Meet BTC BULL

The Ethereum-based tokenrewards holders with Bitcoin airdrops and burns tokens at price milestones:

  • $100K: Presale launch
  • $125K: Token burn
  • $150K: BTC airdrop
  • $175K: Burn event
  • $200K: Second BTC airdrop

BTC BULL Rewards

Q&A: Your Bitcoin Rally Questions Answered

What’s the LTH/STH ratio, and why does it matter?

The ratio compares long-term holders (investors holding BTC for 155+ days) to short-term traders. Rising ratios indicate accumulation phases, often preceding bull runs.

How reliable is the $160K August target?

Based on a 1.6x multiplier from current prices and historical LTH/STH patterns, the projection aligns with past cycles—but always DYOR (do your own research).

Should I buy BTC BULL for the airdrops?

While the rewards are enticing, assess risks: smart contract audits, team credibility, and market conditions. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.

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