Bitcoin’s On-Chain Data Signals Market Neutrality—What’s Next for BTC in 2025?

Bitcoin’s rollercoaster ride hits a lull—for now. On-chain metrics flash neutral after months of manic swings, leaving traders wondering: Is this the calm before the next storm?

No extreme greed. No panic selling. Just… meh.

The Neutral Zone Playbook

Historically, these pauses either precede explosive breakouts or brutal corrections. With institutional custody levels flat and miner reserves steady, the market’s playing poker—everyone’s waiting for someone to blink first.

Wall Street’s Waiting Game

Traditional finance still can’t decide if Bitcoin’s a ‘digital gold’ ETF or a casino chip. Meanwhile, the OGs keep stacking sats—because nothing terrifies bankers more than people opting out of their rigged system.

Watch the hash rate. Watch the whales. And maybe ignore that CNBC ‘expert’ pushing leveraged altcoins.

90-Day CVD Shifts To Neutral After Prolonged Trends

In a June 27 post on X, the social media platform, crypto analyst Maartunn revealed that there has been an important shift in an important metric. The relevant indicator here is the 90-day Futures Taker Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) metric, which tracks the net buying or selling pressure in BTC’s futures market. 

A positive and rising value of the metric usually means that the futures market is dominated by the buyers (Taker Buy Dominant). On the other hand, when the indicator is negative, it means that the futures market is being dominated by the short traders (Taker Sell Dominant).

In the post on X, Maartunn pointed out that the current 90-day CVD is flat, which indicates a balance between bullish and bearish forces in the market. While the Bitcoin price might have shown good signs of recovery, this piece of on-chain data suggests that the market leader might return to a consolidation range.

Bitcoin Fear And Greed Index At Neutral Levels

In another June 27th post on X, crypto analytics firm Alphractal made an on-chain observation, which shares similar implications with Maartunn’s report. Alphractal’s revelation was based on the Bitcoin: Fear and Greed Index Heatmap metric, which tracks the market sentiment shift — from extreme fear to extreme greed — over time.

The metric ranges with values from 0 to 100. The range 0-24 signals extreme fear in the market; 25-49 reads as fear, while 50 is interpreted as a neutral level, where there’s a balance between both market sentiments. On the other side of the spectrum, ranges 51-74 signal greed in the market; 75-100 signifies extreme greed in the market, showing widespread Optimism that often precedes market tops.

According to data from Alphractal, the Fear and Greed Index is at 65, which is still far from the +90 levels observed in November and December 2024. This balance between the buyers and sellers could suggest that the market could be awaiting a catalyst, like macro news or on-chain developments, to get a breakout to either side of the market.

Due to the current uncertainty, traders are advised to tread with caution in the market. As of press time, bitcoin is valued at about $107,143, with the cryptocurrency losing approximately 0.11% in the past 24 hours.

Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Price Surges Toward Recent Highs, But Retail Traders Load Up On Shorts