Dogecoin Price Crash: Historical Data Reveals When the Bottom Will Hit

Dogecoin's freefall has traders scrambling—but history might hold the key to its recovery timeline.

When Will the Bleeding Stop?

Past cycles suggest DOGE's nosedive follows a familiar pattern. The memecoin's volatility isn't new, but this dip has even diamond hands sweating.

The Silver Lining Playbook

Every crash plants seeds for the next rally. While 'buy the dip' sounds cliché, Dogecoin's rebound potential remains baked into its chaotic DNA.

Wall Street's watching through binoculars—from their yachts, naturally.

Estimating Dogecoin Top Formation

Crypto analyst Javier, posting on the social media platform X, has drawn attention to Dogecoin’s past behavior in major bull cycles by showing a repeating pattern in how long dogecoin typically takes to form both its bottoms and its tops. According to the chart and notes shared by the analyst, historical bottoms have often developed over 112 to 133 days, with an average of about 122 days. 

Meanwhile, Dogecoin’s cycle tops have historically formed within 91 to 119 days, averaging around 107 days. These durations have been consistent across multiple cycles since 2017. This trend is visualized in the chart below, which highlights four different breakouts and corrections spanning from 2017 to the current cycle.

The data shows that Doge is currently progressing through a similar phase. According to the analysis, Dogecoin had already dropped to a low of about $0.14 in April. Interestingly, despite the crash in the past 24 hours, Dogecoin seems to have respected this low. 

The ongoing price action is now that of a movement towards a new peak, which should take an average of 119 days. More notably, the analyst noted that the maximum time it has taken for a top in any previous cycle is 119 days. If repeated, the analysis points to August 4, 2025, as a probable peak for the current leg of Dogecoin’s price action. This means a strong MOVE to the upside may soon begin before the next reversal toward a new low. From where we are, the reversal should start between the next 14 and 49 days.

Reversal Window Between Mid-July And Early August

The analyst projects that if the current pattern holds true, the next meaningful reversal for Dogecoin could begin anytime from around 49 to 14 days before this projected August 4 top. This places the likely window for a price bottom and new peak between now and mid-July and early August.

The implication here is that the meme coin may still experience additional short-term downside or sideways movement before reentering a bullish trend.  At the time of writing, DOGE is trading at $0.1642, up by 5.7% in the past 24 hours.