Bitcoin Sell-Off Accelerates: Taker Volume Spikes Signal Oversold Bounce Ahead

Bitcoin's price breakdown just got a lot louder. Taker sell volume is surging as the market flirts with oversold territory—classic crypto drama at its finest.

Blood in the streets? More like an opportunity in disguise. The same traders panic-selling today will FOMO back in tomorrow (probably at higher prices).

When the market's this jumpy, even Wall Street quants would struggle to keep up—good thing crypto moves faster than their legacy settlement systems.

Bitcoin Holds Above $100K As Market Awaits Directional Clarity

Bitcoin is facing a crucial test as it attempts to hold above the $100,000 level after briefly dipping below it over the weekend. The sharp MOVE lower, triggered by geopolitical turmoil after U.S. attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities, fueled panic selling and forced leveraged traders to unwind positions. However, bulls have so far defended the psychological level, and Bitcoin’s price has rebounded, suggesting that this area may be forming a new equilibrium after weeks of choppy consolidation.

Since early June, bitcoin has mostly remained above the $100K mark, yet the inability to reclaim the $112K all-time high signals a lack of bullish momentum. Macroeconomic headwinds continue to weigh on the market, with rising US Treasury yields, a hawkish Federal Reserve, and heightened global tensions shaping investor behavior. Despite the recovery, the risk of another breakdown remains if BTC fails to reclaim the $103,600 and $109,300 resistance levels soon.

According to Axel Adler, the composite Sentiment Index fell to a monthly low of -20% during the recent drop, with taker volume dominated by sellers and open interest declining sharply due to liquidations. While sentiment remains bearish, the Advanced Sentiment Index has shown early signs of recovery, climbing from 20% to 37% as some traders begin buying into the pullback. Still, the mood remains cautious.

Adler notes that this partial rebound in sentiment and softening of the negative volume delta reflect growing interest in catching potential upside, but the market remains on edge. As long as Bitcoin holds above $100K, a fast recovery remains possible. However, any escalation in global conflict or further macroeconomic deterioration could undermine confidence and lead to a deeper correction. The next few days will likely determine whether Bitcoin resumes its uptrend or gives in to broader market pressure.

BTC Price Analysis: Struggling Below Key Resistance

The daily chart shows that Bitcoin is facing increasing pressure after failing to reclaim the $103,600 resistance zone. Following the recent rejection NEAR $104K, BTC is now trading around $101,470, signaling a fragile attempt by bulls to hold the $100K psychological level. The recent dip to $98,200 marked the lowest point in weeks, triggering a spike in selling volume before a modest recovery. This area remains a crucial support for the short-term trend.

Bitcoin now sits below its 50-day moving average (currently at $105,003), a sign that momentum has shifted against the bulls. Meanwhile, the 100-day and 200-day moving averages at $95,829 and $95,970, respectively, may serve as fallback support levels in case of another breakdown. The lower highs forming since early June reinforce the bearish structure unless BTC can close decisively above the $103,600–$109,300 resistance range.

Volume remains relatively low on the recovery, suggesting that the bounce may lack conviction unless stronger buying interest emerges. If BTC fails to reclaim the 50-day MA soon, the path toward $94K becomes more likely. On the upside, bulls must flip $103,600 into support to restore market confidence and reopen the door for a retest of all-time highs.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView