ARK Invest’s Bombshell Prediction: Bitcoin Could Hit $2.4M by 2030

Wall Street’s favorite crypto bull just dropped a grenade in the financial trenches. ARK Invest’s latest model suggests Bitcoin could skyrocket to $2.4 million within six years—roughly 40x from current prices. That’s not a typo.

Behind the number: Cathie Wood’s team assumes institutional allocations hitting 19.4% of portfolios, with Bitcoin eating gold’s lunch as the dominant ’store of value’ asset. The math works... if you ignore three recessions, two regulatory crackdowns, and whatever fresh hell the SEC dreams up next.

Reality check: This projection makes even 2021’s bull market look like a warm-up act. Either ARK’s crystal ball is perfectly calibrated, or someone’s been mainlining hopium. Either way—buckle up.

Institutional Money Set To Fuel Growth

Large financial institutions will be the biggest driver of Bitcoin’s future price growth, as per the report of ARK. In the best-case scenario, estimates the firm, Bitcoin can grab 6.5% of the $200 trillion non-gold global financial market. This institutional adoption is the backbone of ARK’s positive vision.

Bitcoin’s price is currently at around $93,700, having bounced back from a 2025 low of $75,150. For Bitcoin to hit ARK’s bull case target, it would have to increase more than 25 times its current value within the next five years.

Bitcoin could reach between $300,000 and $1.5 million by 2030 under ARK Investment’s bear, base, and bull case scenarios, according to its Big Ideas 2025 report. The projections are based on expected capital inflows from institutional investment, adoption as digital gold, demand…

— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) April 24, 2025

Digital Gold Status Could Boost Value

The second key driver in ARK’s price thesis is the increasing acceptance of Bitcoin as “digital gold.” The company expects Bitcoin to potentially claim up to 60% of gold’s $18 trillion market cap by 2030.

This would be a huge change in investors’ perception of the cryptocurrency, placing it in competition with the world’s oldest store of value. If this occurs, it would make a huge contribution to the price appreciation of Bitcoin, as stated in the report.

ARK’s estimates that the price appreciation being driven by Bitcoin as a “safe haven” in emerging economies may represent up to nearly 14% of the cost growth in its bull case projection.

Puell cited this as having “the greatest potential for capital accrual,” referring to the fact that Bitcoin can store wealth SAFE from inflation and devaluation of money in unstable monetary regimes.

The report also takes into account nation-state adoption and corporate treasury strategies as other factors that will contribute to the value of Bitcoin in the future.

Although the $2.4 million bull case has been making headlines, ARK’s more modest estimates still indicate significant growth. The company increased its “bear case” from $300,000 to $500,000 and its “base case” from $710,000 to $1.2 million.

These targets would mean Bitcoin would need to increase at compound annual rates of 32% to 53% over to 2030. Such prolonged growth rates would be rare for an asset that has already reached trillion-dollar market capitalization.

If Bitcoin breaks the $2.4 million barrier, then its market capitalization would hit almost $49 trillion based on about 20 million supply of bitcoins until 2030.

This will place Bitcoin’s market cap almost on a par with both the United States and China’s combined GDP, as well as capable of overtaking gold as the largest asset class in the world.

Featured image from Alexander Mils/Unsplash, chart from TradingView