Analyst Warns: Bitcoin Price Correction Looms Despite Soaring ETF Demand and Institutional Strategy
A leading on-chain researcher is warning of a potential 10% Bitcoin price correction, even as institutional ETF buying reaches new heights. The stark caution comes as BTC slid toward $65,000 on Friday, March 27th, defying expectations amid surging strategic investment and highlighting acute volatility in global financial markets.
BTC Overall Demand Still On The Decline
In a new post on the social media platform X, CryptoQuant’s Head of Research, Julio Moreno, revealed why the price of Bitcoin is in steady decline despite significant purchases by exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and Michael Saylor-led Strategy (MSTR). According to the on-chain expert, this trend can be explained by the contracting overall spot demand for BTC.
Moreno drew this observation from the Demand Growth metric, which measures the rate of change in the accumulation of a specific cryptocurrency (Bitcoin, in this case) by investors. This apparent demand growth indicator assesses demand by comparing the freshly mined BTC to the amount of unmoved coin in over a year.
In his analysis, Moreno excluded the spot BTC ETFs and Strategy to show a divergence in their movement from the overall metric. As shown in the chart below, BTC demand from the exchange-traded funds and its largest corporate holder has been growing since the end of March, with the overall spot demand still contracting.
Typically, news of positive ETF inflows and fresh Strategy’s treasury acquisitions are welcomed with excitement, as they are believed to have some impact on the value of the premier cryptocurrency. According to the CryptoQuant Head of Research, it is not enough to look at the activities of the spot ETFs and Strategy when judging the current Bitcoin demand.
As CryptoQuant revealed in its latest research report, Strategy is the sole driver of the BTC treasury demand, which has dwindled from its euphoric 2025 high. While most BTC treasury companies have reduced their market activity, Strategy has continuously doubled down on its position with additional Bitcoin purchases.
As Bitcoinist reported, the Saylor-led firm recently added over 1,000 coins to its holdings, bringing its Bitcoin treasury to around 762,099 BTC (around of 3.81% of the entire circulating supply). Meanwhile, the US-based Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded four consecutive weeks of capital inflows, prior to this week’s negative performance.
Bitcoin Price At A Glance
After falling to around $65,500 on Friday, the market leader is now hovering around $66,300. According to data from CoinGecko, the BTC price is down by more than 4% in the past 24 hours.
