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Bitcoin Price Crash Prediction From May 2025 Resurfaces: Analyst Warns ’The Bottom Is Not In’

Bitcoin Price Crash Prediction From May 2025 Resurfaces: Analyst Warns ’The Bottom Is Not In’

Author:
Bitcoinist
Published:
2026-02-09 15:00:23
15
2

An old Bitcoin prophecy just crawled out of the cryptoverse—and it's still pointing down.

The Ghost of Predictions Past

Flashback to May 2025. Markets were buzzing, portfolios were fat, and one analyst dared to map a crash. That forecast just resurfaced, dusted off and staring down today's charts with a cold, 'I told you so' glare. The core thesis remains unchanged: the real floor hasn't been found.

Reading the Bearish Tea Leaves

The argument hinges on classic cycle analysis—the kind Wall Street veterans dismiss until their traditional charts bleed red. It looks past short-term bounces, focusing on macroeconomic tremors and on-chain metrics that whisper 'distribution' while the crowd shouts 'buy the dip.' It's a playbook of patience versus panic.

Why This Time Isn't Different

Every cycle breeds its own mythology of 'new paradigms.' Yet, the resurrected prediction suggests the old rules of exhaustion and capitulation still apply. It calls for watching the silent majority—the long-term holders—rather than the noisy day-traders. When the former start moving, the bottom might be near. Until then? Brace.

The Final Word: Contrarian Grit or Ghost Story?

In a sector addicted to hopium, a bearish call from the past is a gut check. It forces a question: are we witnessing a healthy correction or the early innings of a deeper cleanse? One cynical jab for the finance bros: sometimes the most expensive lesson is ignoring history while paying for premium charting software. The market doesn't care about your feelings—or your predictions. It just finds a bottom, with or without you.

Chart Signals That Nailed The Bitcoin Price Crash

KillaXBT’s framework is built on rotational market mathematics, measuring how many times price cycles are within a range before exhaustion. The analyst segmented Bitcoin’s structure into consolidation blocks and assigned swing counts to identify when liquidity had been fully absorbed.

In the early phase, accumulation rotations labeled “(2×2)+1 = 5” and “(5×2)+1 = 11” defined the base that ultimately fueled Bitcoin’s impulsive rally. These counts indicated that internal liquidity cycling was complete, clearing the path for expansion. Once that MOVE matured, the price transitioned into a high-range consolidation beneath the cycle peak.

Inside the 115,000–120,000 distribution zone, the chart identified overlapping exhaustion clusters marked “(2×5)+1 = 9” and “(3×2)+1 = 7.” For traders, stacked counts at highs typically signal supply absorption. Although bitcoin printed marginal higher highs, momentum was fading — a textbook late-stage distribution signal.

Bitcoin

Market behavior followed that roadmap. Bitcoin formed repeated rejection wicks near the highs, upside momentum slowed, and breakout attempts failed to secure acceptance above resistance. Volume compression reinforced the distribution thesis. Instead of continuation, the price rolled over.

The model then mapped a transition into mid-range consolidation around the 100,000 psychological level, with BTCUSDT referenced NEAR 102,603. Annotated “(2×2)+1 = 5, then subtract 2 = 3,” the structure signaled weakening bounce capacity. Price action mirrored the setup: multiple support tests, lower highs, and eventual breakdown — completing the crash phase outlined in the May 2025 forecast.

Bitcoin Price Could Drop Further Before Hitting Bottom

The resurfaced chart’s larger significance lies in its forward projection. After the six-figure range failed, the model guided Bitcoin into a lower distribution band around 70,000. This zone carried heavier rotational counts — “4×2 = 8” and “(5×5)+1 = 26” — implying extended consolidation within a bearish continuation framework.

Current market behavior continues to align with that structure. Bitcoin has already rotated into lower support territory following the 100K breakdown, while volatility has expanded on selloffs rather than recoveries. Relief rallies remain corrective, lacking the impulsive follow-through required to confirm bottom formation.

The chart’s final stage shows a potential capitulation toward the $50,000 area, marked by a sharp move below the lower range. Structurally, this is an unfinished downside that completes the current distribution phase.

The sequence is straightforward: accumulation pushed prices higher, the rise led to distribution, and now distribution is causing further breakdowns. Because no consolidation has shown the expansion profile typical of a macro base, the model maintains that the true bottom is not yet in.

Bitcoin

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