Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Crash To $15,000 Using Gold Chart - A Bold Forecast for 2025

One analyst is making waves with a dire prediction for Bitcoin, forecasting a potential plunge to $15,000. The twist? They're using the historical chart of gold as their primary crystal ball.

The Golden Precedent

Forget traditional crypto metrics. This forecast hinges on drawing parallels between Bitcoin's current trajectory and gold's historical price patterns. The analyst suggests that if Bitcoin follows a similar corrective path as the precious metal once did, a sharp downturn could be on the horizon.

A Contrarian Signal

In a market often driven by hype and maximalist sentiment, this gold-chart analysis serves as a stark contrarian warning. It challenges the prevailing narrative of perpetual upward momentum, suggesting that even digital gold can suffer a classic, old-school correction. It's a reminder that in finance, sometimes the oldest charts tell the newest stories—usually right before your portfolio tells a sad one.

The Bottom Line

While predictions are a dime a dozen in crypto, this $15,000 target—rooted in a tangible, centuries-old asset class—demands attention. Whether it's prescient analysis or just another piece of pessimistic fodder, it underscores the volatile and unpredictable nature of the market. After all, if history taught us anything, it's that traders will pay a fortune for a glimpse of the future, even when it's painted with the brush of the past.

Why A Crash Could Be Coming For The Bitcoin Price

Crypto analyst The Great Martis took to X (formerly Twitter) to share their prediction of where the Bitcoin price is headed next. The chart shows a possible decline that could send Bitcoin moving below $20,000, before eventually reaching a bottom at around $15,000. Although this is not out of the ordinary for analysts to predict such crashes, the reason why Mathis believes this is possible is what is interesting.

The crypto analyst points out that the gold performance, which has seen the asset hitting new all-time highs this year, was being driven by speculation. Martis explains that the Fed’s intervention is something that will continue to drive the price of gold higher, and this could, in turn, continue to push down the Bitcoin price.

Furthermore, the analyst expects that the gold price will rise into the $12,000 territory, putting it in the same region that the bitcoin price was in back in 2021. The interesting thing to note about Bitcoin in 2021 is that this was the year that the digital asset went on one of its most explosive rallies so far.

If bitcoin continues to perform inversely to gold, then a rise to 5-digits for gold would mean a bearish market for Bitcoin. A crash to $15,000 would translate to a more than 70% decrease in price from the current level, and an almost 90% decline from its $126,000 all-time high.

So far, this year, Gold has been the better performer of the two when compared side-by-side. For context, the gold price is already up over 55% in the year 2025; meanwhile, the Bitcoin price suffered a major 30% drop in price after hitting $126,000 back in October.

While both of these assets continue to lead in their respective sectors, gold continues to remain the standard for what investors consider a “safe” investment compared to Bitcoin, which is known for its wild price fluctuations.