Bitcoin Holds at $115K - On-Chain Metrics Scream Imminent Breakout

Bitcoin's consolidation at $115,000 isn't a stall—it's a coiled spring. On-chain activity reveals massive accumulation patterns while traditional finance still tries to wrap its head around basic custody.

Network fundamentals defy price action

Exchange outflows hit record levels as whales gobble up supply. Mining difficulty rockets to new highs—proof that smart money sees value where retail sees resistance. The numbers don't lie: this isn't distribution, it's accumulation on steroids.

Institutional FOMO meets cryptographic reality

While Wall Street analysts debate 'fair value,' blockchain analytics show clear bullish divergence. Address activity spikes, transaction volumes explode, and the network grows more secure by the block. Traditional metrics fail where on-chain intelligence prevails.

Price follows fundamentals—always has

History shows Bitcoin's price eventually catches up to network strength. This pause at $115K looks less like resistance and more like the calm before the storm. When this breaks, it won't be gentle. The only question is whether traditional finance will be early or painfully late—again.

Bitcoin Struggles at Resistance, But Wallet Growth and Profitability Fuel Optimism

Readings from the BTC/USD one-day chart highlight BTC’s struggle to close decisively above $115,892 over the past two trading sessions, a level that now stands as a barrier against upside. 

Interestingly, despite this short-term hesitation, on-chain data suggests market strength is still building.

According to Glassnode, the number of BTC addresses holding a non-zero balance has climbed to its year-to-date high. At press time, this stands at 54.37 million wallet addresses.

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A non-zero balance wallet refers to any Bitcoin address that holds at least a fraction of BTC, signaling active participation in the network. 

When the number of these wallets climbs, it reflects rising retail and institutional interest and deeper network adoption, which could sustain a BTC price surge in the near term.

Further strengthening the bullish outlook, data from CryptoQuant reveals that 93.6% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply is currently in profit, a trend that has historically been followed by strong bullish phases.

In a new report, pseudonymous CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Avails explained that the long-term average of this metric is around 75%, meaning the current level is significantly above normal. 

At 93.6%, the analyst argued the trend points to strong Optimism and sustained momentum. 

“The market is clearly in bull mode. This might scare those thinking “everyone’s in profit, time to run,” but I see it as a positive — it keeps the market’s excitement alive,” Crypto Avails stated. 

Break Above $115,892 Could Unlock $122,000

With on-chain activity heating up and profitability reaching levels previously followed by rallies, BTC might be gearing up for another climb. 

A decisive break above the $115,892 resistance could trigger a rally toward $119,367. If buy-side pressure strengthens here, BTC could extend its gains and rally to $122,190.

However, if bearish dominance grows, BTC could extend its sideways trend and even plunge downward to $111,961.