Toncoin Alert: 42% Whale Inflow Surge Sets Stage for $3.28 Breakout?

Whales are circling Toncoin—and they're hungry. A sudden 42% spike in large holder inflows has traders betting on a run toward $3.28. But can retail investors surf this wave without getting dumped on?

Big money moves the needle

When crypto's 1% starts accumulating, prices typically follow. TON's whale transactions now resemble pre-pump patterns seen in Solana and BNB before their parabolic runs. Yet every 'smart money' influx comes with a side of leverage—and potential liquidations.

The $3.28 question

Technical setups suggest the stars could align for TON, with clear air until the $3.30 resistance level. Of course, in crypto, 'clear air' often means 'empty promises'—just ask anyone who bought the last 'institutional inflow' narrative.

Game theory at play

Market makers love nothing more than a good whale story to lure liquidity. Whether this ends in a genuine breakout or another 'buy the rumor, sell the news' cycle depends on who blinks first. Pro tip: Watch the futures open interest like a hawk.

Bulls step in at support, but can TON clear resistance?

Toncoin defended the $2.60–$2.70 support region after repeated tests, marking a solid short-term bottom. 

However, at the time of writing, the price traded below the descending trendline, and key Fib levels were at $3.15 and $3.28.

These resistance zones have capped price rallies over the past month, making them critical for any upward breakout. 

A sustained close above $3.28 could trigger momentum toward the $3.46 and $3.69 levels. Until then, TON remains trapped in a tightening range, testing investor patience and market conviction.

Source: TradingView

TON whale activity returns with a sharp 42% weekly inflow spike

Large holder netflows climbed by 42.45% over the last seven days, showing a strong reversal in whale behavior. This marks a key shift in sentiment as high-value wallets re-enter the market after extended periods of outflows. 

The timing coincides with TON’s bounce from its support level, suggesting that accumulation is likely occurring during consolidation. 

If this behavior persists, it could offer the liquidity foundation needed for bulls to challenge overhead resistance and drive Toncoin into a new trend cycle.

Source: IntoTheBlock

DAA divergence climbs above 41% as fundamentals outpace price

At press time, Toncoin’s Adjusted Price DAA Divergence stood at +41.32%, pointing to rising activity relative to price. This metric often reflects hidden strength, where real user demand increases even when price lags. 

The current divergence supports a bullish outlook as it signals authentic usage rather than speculative spikes. 

Combined with growing wallet creation and increased whale inflows, TON’s improving address dynamics could act as a springboard for a stronger MOVE if resistance barriers are cleared in the days ahead.

Source: Santiment

TON derivatives heat up: Are traders positioning for volatility?

TON derivatives activity surged this week, with volume up 54.48% to $94.54 million and Open Interest rising 4.83% to $192.22 million. This reflects growing speculative interest and confidence in directional moves. 

Increased volume typically leads to price discovery, especially when accompanied by rising Open Interest. 

With spot market support holding and on-chain fundamentals aligning, derivatives traders appear to be front-running a potential breakout.

If TON clears its resistance cluster, these Leveraged positions could amplify upward momentum significantly.

All eyes on $3.28 as bullish pressure builds across markets

TON shows strong short-term recovery signs, supported by rising transaction growth, bullish divergence, whale inflows, and surging derivatives activity.

However, all bullish momentum remains speculative unless $3.28 is decisively broken. 

Until then, TON’s outlook stays range-bound. Still, the convergence of on-chain strength and trading interest creates a compelling setup for price expansion. 

If bulls maintain pressure and flip resistance into support, TON could gain momentum for a move toward the $3.46–$3.69 area in the coming sessions.