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Bitcoin’s Perfect Storm: China’s $24.9T Liquidity Tsunami Targets $117K BTC Breakout

Bitcoin’s Perfect Storm: China’s $24.9T Liquidity Tsunami Targets $117K BTC Breakout

Author:
Ambcrypto
Published:
2025-10-17 13:00:14
9
2

Global markets brace as China unleashes historic liquidity wave—digital gold stands ready to capitalize.

The Liquidity Catalyst

Beijing's massive $24.9 trillion injection creates unprecedented conditions for Bitcoin's next major move. Market makers position for what could become crypto's most significant rally cycle.

Technical Setup Perfection

BTC's consolidation pattern suggests explosive potential when combined with macro tailwinds. The $117K target represents not just another milestone—it signals crypto's maturation into mainstream asset allocation.

Institutional FOMO Brewing

Traditional finance finally understands what crypto natives knew all along: you can't print Bitcoin. Meanwhile, Wall Street still tries to package synthetic exposure like it's inventing sliced bread.

This convergence of macro liquidity and technical alignment creates Bitcoin's most compelling bull case since its inception. The only question remains—who catches the wave?

Key Takeaways

How could China’s rising M2 money supply impact Bitcoin? 

Historically, increased Chinese liquidity has correlated with BTC price gains, potentially boosting global demand.

What is Bitcoin’s short-term price target based on current market data?

Market projections suggest a short-term target of $117,000, driven by liquidation clusters around that level.

Bitcoin [BTC] may soon experience a major influx of liquidity after one of its deepest shakeouts in recent months.

This time, all eyes are on Chinese investors as global liquidity trends could favor the asset, helping it reclaim its lost bullish momentum.

Chinese liquidity to Bitcoin’s rescue?

A recent report from Alphractal highlights a notable surge in China’s M2 money supply.

M2 money supply measures the total amount of money circulating in an economy that can be quickly converted into cash or used for spending. It is a key indicator of economic growth. According to the report, China’s M2 stood at $24.9 trillion, at press time, surpassing that of the U.S.

Historically, there has been a strong correlation between rising Chinese M2 and BTC’s market performance. An increase in M2 liquidity has often been followed by a corresponding rise in Bitcoin’s price.

China M2 vs Bitcoin supply

Source: Alphractal

This happens because excess liquidity tends to flow into other asset classes, Bitcoin being one of the main beneficiaries under historical conditions.

Analyst João Wedson supports this outlook, noting that bitcoin mining activity remains heavily concentrated in China. He said,

“There are still many Chinese miners and OG whales active in the market. As long as China’s M2 keeps increasing, global liquidity will likely continue to favor Bitcoin.”

An opposing view

Ray Youssef, CEO of NoOnes, presents a contrasting view on China’s liquidity and its impact on BTC. In an email, he explained,

“Most of the new liquidity is likely to be absorbed domestically within the nation’s economic system. China’s M2 expansion reveals what’s really happening under the hood of the global economy,”

Youssef believes China’s liquidity boost is an attempt to stabilize its internal economy, possibly by increasing money supply, rather than to stimulate external investments such as BTC.

Data from Sosovalue supports this argument, showing that Chinese demand for Bitcoin remains relatively low.

Hong Kong’s Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continue to underperform, with total holdings valued at just $461 million, a sharp contrast to the $61.91 billion held by U.S. Bitcoin ETFs.

Bitcoin H.K. spot ETFs

Source: Sosovalue

In fact, U.S. government-held Bitcoin alone is worth $34 billion, despite America’s money supply being about 2.1 times smaller than China’s.

Still, Ray Youssef acknowledges Bitcoin’s LINK to global liquidity:

“Monetary easing cycles, wherever they occur, reinforce the long-term case for non-sovereign assets. Bitcoin continues to evolve as a central part of that conversation,” he added.

Bitcoin cycle and short-term target

The potential for a continued rally now depends on whether Bitcoin maintains its repetition of a fractal cycle, a four-year pattern that has historically tracked the asset’s movements.

If Bitcoin follows this pattern, it could defy expectations tied to Chinese liquidity and rally further. However, if it breaks the pattern, a new high above the current level of $108,000 could emerge.

Short-term projections still point toward a $117,000 target, as suggested by the liquidation heatmap, which shows a cluster of short-seller positions around that price range.

Bitcoin liquidation chart.

Source: CoinGlass

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