Did Taleb make a mistake when he first studied bitcoin?
Could it be argued that Nassim Taleb, renowned for his theory of black swan events, miscalculated when he initially examined Bitcoin? Given his emphasis on the importance of extreme outcomes and tail risks, it seems surprising that he did not foresee the potential for Bitcoin to emerge as a significant financial force. Did his skepticism towards cryptocurrencies perhaps blind him to the potential for such a disruptive technology to reshape the financial landscape? Or was his initial assessment simply a case of a brilliant mind overlooking a developing trend that did not yet fit into his existing framework of thinking? The question remains: did Taleb truly make a mistake, or was his initial skepticism simply a reflection of the uncertainty and risk that characterizes any emerging technology?