How does a Crypto Trader identify a long-term trend?

As a crypto trader, how do you typically identify a long-term trend in the market? Do you rely primarily on technical analysis, such as chart patterns and indicators, or do you also factor in economic news, sentiment analysis, and the broader macroeconomic environment? Are there any specific strategies or tools that you find most useful for determining a sustainable long-term direction for cryptocurrencies? Could you elaborate on your process and how it helps you make informed trading decisions?