SpaceX IPO Price Prediction: What Analysts See for 2026

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Last updated: 12/22/2025 19:44

SpaceX is reportedly preparing for its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in 2026. As of late December, 2025, Multiple new reports suggest that SpaceX plans to raise about $30 billion in the forthcoming IPO. If this becomes reality, it would make SpaceX’s IPO the largest offering in the world, with the SpaceX IPO price prediction and valuation ranging from $800 billion to $1.5 trillion.

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SpaceX IPO Price Prediction

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Is SpaceX Going Public? Current IPO Status

As of late December, 2025, SpaceX has yet to officially file for an IPO with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Reports, however, show that the SpaceX IPO 2026 may be a reality since the company is in consultations with investors. News outlets indicate that the company is seeking to raise more than $25 billion with a valuation in the over $1 trillion range.

Despite the speculations, there is no fixed SpaceX IPO date in 2026. News outlets report that SpaceX’s chief financial officer has been meeting with banks and potential investors. There have also been comments from company executives, including Elon Musk’s confirmation that the company is seeking to raise money.

“When will SpaceX go public?” is perhaps one of the most asked questions, but there is no definitive answer at the moment. That said, most SpaceX stock price forecasts suggest that the company will launch its IPO in 2026.

SpaceX IPO Price Prediction Scenarios for 2026

Although most SpaceX IPO valuations for 2026 are speculative, private market analysts are leveraging market data to create plausible scenarios for a 2026 IPO. The different scenarios are based on revenue multiples, current trends, growth assumptions, economic conditions, and confirmed news reports.

We can cover scenarios from analysts and market observers in three key categories: conservative, mid-range, and bullish.

  1. Conservative Scenario – $800B Valuation

Conservative analysts indicate that the SpaceX IPO could be priced at the same valuation as internal share sales. This puts the valuation figure at around $800 billion. This base-case scenario is supported by current share sales at about $420 per share, according to internal reports.

  1. Mid-Range Scenario – $1T+ Valuation

Market observers, on the other hand, believe the company could easily surpass $1 trillion in valuation due to strong Starlink revenue growth, massive new cycle support, and increased investor appetite. The underlying assumptions for this scenario are sustained revenue growth and receptive capital markets.

  1. Bullish Scenario – $1.5T+ Valuation

While some analysts and market observers are trying to play it safe, others strongly believe that SpaceX could hit a $1.5 trillion valuation at IPO, raising $30+ billion in total capital. This ambitious SpaceX IPO forecast relies on strong future revenue projections, continued Starlink expansion, and strong institutional inflows.

Taken together, analysts suggest a SpaceX IPO share price forecast ranging from $420 per share on the conservative end to $800 for mid-range estimates and up to $1,200 per share for bullish speculators.

SpaceX IPO vs Starlink IPO: What Investors Confuse

SpaceX IPO Price Prediction

One of the confusing aspects among investors in the SpaceX IPO discussion is the difference between a SpaceX IPO and a Starlink IPO. Some people wrongly assume that they mean the same thing.

  • SpaceX is the parent company. It builds rockets, conducts launch services, and oversees the Starlink satellite internet business. SpaceX is the company that is likely to go public in 2026, based on multiple news reports.

 

  • Starlink, on the other hand, is a company under the SpaceX umbrella. It is a satellite broadband internet provider with massive revenue growth. It is perhaps one of the highest profit drivers of the SpaceX empire. While there have been speculations of a Starlink IPO, there is no credible source to validate those speculations.

The confusion between a SpaceX IPO and a Starlink IPO probably arises because many headlines confuse SpaceX’s broader IPO plans with Starlink’s potential separate listing. Furthermore, there have been hints of a possible Starlink IPO, so many people assume it could happen at the same time as the SpaceX IPO. However, both IPO discussions are separate.

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Risks That Could Affect SpaceX IPO Price

While investors are getting excited about expected SpaceX IPO pricing, they should also keep an eye on the risks. Here are some of the risks analysts have observed:

  • Execution and technology risk: SpaceX is an ambitious company with the key goal of making humanity an interplanetary species. This ambition requires complex technological innovation and precise execution. Delays or setbacks can be costly and negatively impact how much profit investors may get in the long run. This uncertainty can influence how some investors price the IPO.
  • Changes in revenue growth: Current space market valuations are based on current revenue growth and the assumption that growth will be sustained and improved upon. Investors must also realize that the inverse is also a possibility. This can cause investors to value the IPO at a lower price.
  • Changes in market conditions: Overall market conditions can significantly impact SpaceX’s share price when the company finally files its S-1 and registers publicly. A declining market can cause investors to rate the IPO at more conservative values.
  • Governance Risk: At present, Elon Musk plays a strong leadership role across multiple companies, including xAI, SpaceX, and Tesla. For this reason, some even call the IPO the “Elon Musk SpaceX IPO.” Public investors may ask for discounted valuations or higher returns in response to potential leadership overhang.

Analyst Takeaway: Is SpaceX Worth the Wait?

SpaceX IPO Price Prediction

SpaceX’s potential IPO holds a lot of promise for investors and speculators alike. With a valuation ranging from $800 billion to over $1.5 trillion, it is set to become one of the largest public offerings in history. There are many positives, such as Starlink’s continued revenue growth, launch service dominance, and plans to host data centers in space.

At the same time, the most optimistic analyst valuation outlook relies on execution and sustained growth. In the end, whether SpaceX is worth the wait depends on the investor’s horizon, risk tolerance, and belief in the long-term profitability of the SpaceX empire.

FAQs About SpaceX IPO Price Prediction

Q1. Is SpaceX going public in 2026?

Possibly. Unofficial reports suggest that Elon Musk and the board are targeting mid-to-late 2026 for a SpaceX IPO.

Q2. What is SpaceX’s valuation in 2025?

As of December 2025, secondary market transactions value SpaceX at approximately $800 billion.

Q3. What will SpaceX’s IPO be worth?

SpaceX could be worth up to $1.5 trillion, according to multiple analysts.

Q4. Is Starlink going public in 2026?

No. Instead, current reports indicate that the entire SpaceX company (including Starlink) is going public in 2026.

Q5. Could a Starlink IPO impact SpaceX?

Yes. Hypothetically, a Starlink IPO would likely drive SpaceX’s stock price significantly

 

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Sources

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