Rivian (RIVN) Stock Price Forecast and Prediction 2025-2030

Last updated:06/10/2025
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Rivian Automotive’s (NASDAQ:RIVN) shares ended a surge that saw it rise 56.67% between April 8 and May 20 after losing more than 6% during the last five trading days. Despite this, the stock has gained 9.42% so far this year, well surpassing the Nasdaq’s 0.43% drop. RIVN was clearly benefiting from the recent rise, which was sparked by the U.S. and China agreeing to a 90-day moratorium on tariffs on May 11. It offered a little respite from the market’s turmoil this year.

 

As anticipated car deliveries declined, it was reported on June 2 that Rivian was considering a new loan arrangement. The business declared its intention to do a private offering of $1.25 billion in senior secure green notes that are due in 2031. The EV manufacturer intends to redeem $1.25 billion in existing senior secured notes that are due in 2026 using those monies in addition to cash on hand.

 

Rivian reportedly invested $111.13 million to join the e-bike market in April. Although the news of the 90-day suspension has put a temporary stop to President Trump’s tariffs, Rivian continues to confront pressure from the tariffs, despite the commendable focus on extending the company’s product portfolio. With 158,363,834 shares, Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) is the biggest RIVN institutional holder. At the end of February, the business announced its full-year earnings, which included record quarterly gross profits and a negative gross profit of $1.2 billion (down from $2 billion in 2023).

 

The electric vehicle startup went public in November 2021 and caused quite a stir when its stock price soared to $180 in the first trading week. With $3.7 billion in operational expenses in 2021 and only 920 vehicles delivered, Rivian desperately required the cash infusion. At the time of Rivian’s first public offering (IPO), Amazon and Ford (NYSE:F) were among the investors who had some stake in the company. The COVID-19 lockdown investing frenzy has subsided, but not before leaving an SUV-sized dent in Rivian’s stock price—it’s trading over 89% below its post-IPO high.

 

BTCC’s goal is to inform readers of our expectations on the future of the stock, the growth we anticipate from Rivian over the next few years, and our best annual estimates for the stock price of Rivian until 2030.

 

 

Table of Contents

 

 

 

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Key Takeaways:

 

  • Increasing production capacity and lowering the cost of EV components are important growth drivers, with a 2027 profitability target.
  • With the launch of its Gen 2 platform by 2026, Rivian hopes to reduce material prices by 45%.
  • Get a free copy of our “The Next NVIDIA” report if you’re searching for a megatrend with enormous potential. A comprehensive industry map of AI investments, including numerous small caps, is included in the research.

 

 

 

Rivian (RIVN) Stock Prediction 2025

 

Stock in Rivian could fall 1.72 percent from its current price, with Wall Street analysts projecting a median one-year price objective of $14.74. The stock has a consensus “Hold” recommendation among the 25 analysts that have covered RIVN. Seven analysts have given the stock a “Buy” rating, fifteen have given it a “Hold” rating, and three have given it a “Sell” rating.

 

But the 12-month price forecast from 24/7 Wall St. is more pessimistic. We anticipate that Rivian’s stock price will reach $11.88, which is a possible decline of 18.01% from the current share price.

 

 

 

Rivian (RIVN) Stock Prediction 2030

 

Our projection calls for Rivian’s stock price to reach $44.85 by year’s end in 2030. From where shares are trading now, our estimated price objective for RIVN indicates a potential upside of 209.52%.

 

Wall Street analysts are predicting a median one-year price objective of $14.74 for Rivian stock, which may mean a 1.72 percent drop from where it is now. Out of the 25 analysts who have looked into RIVN, the majority have given the company a “Hold” recommendation. The stock has been rated as “Buy” by seven experts, “Hold” by fifteen, and “Sell” by three.

 

The 12-month price outlook, however, is more gloomy according to 24/7 Wall St. The stock price of Rivian can fall as much as 18.01% from its present level, reaching $11.88 according to our forecast.

 

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Factors Influencing Rivian’s Stock Price

 

1. Electric Vehicle Technology and Cost Curves: Upgraded performance and reduced component costs are the goals of Rivian’s next-generation (G2) R1 vehicles. For instance, sixty parts will be cut, the small motor will be modified, and nearly two thousand connections or welds will be eliminated, in addition to a sixty percent reduction in the amount of electronic components. There will be a 20% reduction in material costs and a 30% increase in assembly line speed only from these adjustments. Rivian predicts a 45 percent drop in material costs for the R2 vehicle line by the middle of 2026. Highway assist and 360-degree visibility are two products of Rivian’s investments in advanced driver assistance systems that use NVIDIA-powered computational power, better cameras, and radar.

 

2. Electric Vehicle Demand and Incentives: Rivian is already exceeding analyst projections by delivering approximately 13,000 vehicles per quarter and is on track to create 57,000 units in 2024 with 9,000 new G2 vehicles produced per quarter. With the planned growth of 400,000 additional automobiles in Georgia, the overall factory capacity is 215,000 vehicles.

 

3. The Road to Profitability: Rivian anticipates that the R1 platform will generate profits for the company through premium configurations and the advantages of scale. By 2027, the firm hopes to have achieved positive adjusted EBITDA, with long-term aims of 25% gross margin, 10% FCF margin, and adjusted EBITDA margins in the high teens.

 

 

 

 

Rivian vs. Tesla

 

For Rivian’s initial few years as a public business, below is a table that shows their revenues, operating income, and share price. You can see a snapshot of the company’s financial health from 2014–2018 in the following table: share price, revenues, and profits (net income).

 

Year Share Price
Revenues Net Income
2021 $50.24 $55.0 million ($4.22 billion)
2022 $19.30 $1.658.0 billion ($6.856 billion)
2023 $10.70 $4.434.0 billion ($5.739 billion)
2024 $13.25 $4.997.0 billion ($4.689 billion)

 

After the Model S was officially launched on June 22, 2012, let’s examine Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) during its initial years of production and sales.

 

Year Share Price
Revenues Net Income
2011 $2.24 $204.2 million ($2.45 million)
2012 $2.25 $413.3 million ($3.96 million)
2013 $16.87 $2.013 billion ($74 million)
2014 $13.81 $3.198 billion ($294 million)

 

 

After releasing their initial mass-market automobiles, both companies saw comparable increases in revenue, but Tesla came out on top in terms of net profits. In order to keep his company alive while expanding into new lines of autos, Tesla CEO Elon Musk has long advocated for word-of-mouth marketing and taken a hardline approach to cutting product costs.

 

Can they reduce costs and when will positive net income be realized? These are the two most pressing questions for Rivian investors right now.

 

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